← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Matty Bown Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Walsingham
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Walsingham (SR 82, 3/1) is the standout selection. The market has firmed 43% since opening — the strongest steam in the field by a considerable margin — and David O'Meara's yard has designated him #1 over stablemate Capital Guarantee (who has drifted 161%). He carries 10-2 but his SR of 82 is second only to Venetian Lion, and crucially he holds a Course:W3P4 record at Pontefract that no rival can match, combined with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground. Running off a mark 2lb below his last win (MarkMv:-2) at the same class level (ClassMv:=) means conditions are set up perfectly, and the experienced Jason Watson booking (13% career strike rate, 1,800 runners) confirms yard intent. Each-way alternative: Milteye. Main danger: Venetian Lion — Venetian Lion (SR 86, top-rated in the field) carries only 9-6, holds a form string of 796211 showing sharp recent improvement, and William Haggas (23% career strike rate) books Cieren Fallon (18%) — however the 23% market drift, class rise (ClassMv:↑1), unproven going (GoingFit:?), and MarkMv:+4 leave enough doubt to oppose at 9/4.
Full result
Winner: Venetian Lion (GB) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Venetian Lion Fox #2 5/2
-
2
BillyB 18/1
-
3
Walsingham Fox #1 3/1
-
4
Freddie Steady Go Fox #4 7/1
-
5
Garden Oasis 16/1
-
6
Milteye Fox #3 9/2
-
7
Hale End 11/1
-
8
Perfect Part 20/1
-
9
Zowal 14/1
-
10
Capital Guarantee 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Walsingham 3/1 🥉 3RD
-
2
Venetian Lion 9/4 SP 11/4F 🏆 WON
-
3
Milteye 8/1 6TH
-
4
Freddie Steady Go 11/1 🏁 4TH