Pontefract 16:08 RESULTED
Class 4 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Matty Bown Handicap Stakes

Matty Bown Handicap Stakes · 1m0f6y

Official Result

Matty Bown Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Venetian Lion (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas
    11/4F
  2. Second Billyb (FR)
    11/1
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Milteye silks
Milteye
Age 6 · 10-2
-01854
82
81
86
6
10-2
9/2 8/1 9/2
Milteye won four starts back and steps up having run over today's trip and going, with 17 days since his last run leaving him nicely fresh; the concern is that his two most recent efforts have yielded only a fourth and a fifth, suggesting he needs to rediscover that winning form.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Walsingham silks
Walsingham
Age 6 · 10-2
080578
82
82
85
6
10-2
3/1 10/3 3/1
Winless in his last six starts, Walsingham does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 18 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, but a sequence of eighth, seventh and fifth tells a story of a gelding that struggles to land a blow from the midfield pack.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Hale End silks
Hale End
Age 6 · 10-0
207142
80
76
82
6
10-0
11/1 7/1 11/1
Hale End was a winner three starts back and a placed runner last time out, showing he retains ability, but a seventh and an unplaced effort also punctuate that recent sequence, making him hard to trust fully; has run over today's trip and going, and returns fit on a 14-day turnaround from stall six carrying 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Perfect Part silks
Perfect Part
Age 4 · 10-0
420754
80
72
91
4
10-0
20/1 17/2 18/1
Perfect Part is winless in her last six starts but catches the eye as our top-rated runner, and her fourth last time out — just 12 days ago — keeps her nicely fresh; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a second five starts back hints at better lurking.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
BillyB silks
BillyB
Age 7 · 10-0
-87074
80
65
85
7
10-0
18/1 10/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and yet to score at this level, BillyB nonetheless holds a rating of 85 and has experience over today's trip and conditions, making him a live threat — though 62 days off the track and a fourth-last finish as his best recent effort are the concerns.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Freddie Steady Go silks
Freddie Steady Go
Age 5 · 9-13
77188
79
78
88
5
9-13
7/1 11/1 13/2
Freddie Steady Go showed he can win when scoring three starts back, returns on a quick 14-day turnaround in fine shape, and has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is recapturing that form after consecutive eighths since that victory.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Capital Guarantee silks
Capital Guarantee
Age 6 · 9-12
061663
78
62
78
6
9-12
25/1 11/2 25/1
Third last time out shows Capital Guarantee retains some ability, though consecutive sixth-place finishes two and three starts back temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days since his last outing leaves him reasonably fresh under 138 lb from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Zowal silks
Zowal
Age 4 · 9-10
-61304
76
72
77
4
9-10
14/1 15/2 12/1
Ranked bottom but one on our figures, Zowal has finished fourth and unplaced in his last two starts, and only one win features in his last five — though he does return fit enough at 19 days, has experience over today's trip and conditions, and a third three starts back shows he can mix it occasionally.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Venetian Lion silks
Venetian Lion
Age 3 · 9-6
796211
76
86
68
3
9-6
5/2 18/13 5/2
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carrying 132 lb from stall nine, Venetian Lion faces a stiff task, though consecutive wins in his last two starts and a trainer striking at 28% recently are genuinely in his favour, and he has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Garden Oasis silks
Garden Oasis
Age 11 · 9-2
542337
68
65
77
11
9-2
16/1 14/1 12/1
Winless in his last six starts, Garden Oasis faces a stiff task ranked eighth of ten on our figures, and a seventh last time out does little to inspire confidence; has run over today's trip and going, and 16 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Milteye 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 Bet365
2 Walsingham 3/1 open 8.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
3 Hale End 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
4 Perfect Part 20/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
5 BillyB 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Freddie Steady Go 7/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 15.00 7/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 15.00 7/1 open 12.00 15/2 Paddy Power
7 Capital Guarantee 25/1 open 6.50 25/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 7.50 25/1 open 7.50 25/1 open 7.50 25/1 open 9.50 25/1 Bet365
8 Zowal 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Venetian Lion 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 2.38 5/2 open 2.62 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.62 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 Bet365
10 Garden Oasis 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 12/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 20/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Walsingham

Speculative

Walsingham owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 David O'Meara Jason Watson
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Venetian Lion

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Capital Guarantee

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · David O'Meara
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Walsingham
55.6 3/1
2 9. Venetian Lion
51.7 5/2
3 1. Milteye
50.7 9/2
4 6. Freddie Steady Go
50.6 7/1
5 3. Hale End
48.5 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Walsingham
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-6
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 10-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 10-2
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-13
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 10-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 11 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 10-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Age 4 · 10-0
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Walsingham
Confidence: Speculative

Walsingham (SR 82, 3/1) is the standout selection. The market has firmed 43% since opening — the strongest steam in the field by a considerable margin — and David O'Meara's yard has designated him #1 over stablemate Capital Guarantee (who has drifted 161%). He carries 10-2 but his SR of 82 is second only to Venetian Lion, and crucially he holds a Course:W3P4 record at Pontefract that no rival can match, combined with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground. Running off a mark 2lb below his last win (MarkMv:-2) at the same class level (ClassMv:=) means conditions are set up perfectly, and the experienced Jason Watson booking (13% career strike rate, 1,800 runners) confirms yard intent. Each-way alternative: Milteye. Main danger: Venetian Lion — Venetian Lion (SR 86, top-rated in the field) carries only 9-6, holds a form string of 796211 showing sharp recent improvement, and William Haggas (23% career strike rate) books Cieren Fallon (18%) — however the 23% market drift, class rise (ClassMv:↑1), unproven going (GoingFit:?), and MarkMv:+4 leave enough doubt to oppose at 9/4.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Walsingham's recent form reads 080578 — three single-digit finishes including a last (8th) most recently, suggesting he is not currently in the form of his Pontefract wins.
  • Venetian Lion holds the field's highest SR (86 vs 82), is trained by the superior-strike-rate Haggas yard (23%) with Cieren Fallon (18%), and at 9-4 the market has him as favourite despite drifting —…
  • Walsingham carries top weight of 10-2 alongside Milteye, yet his course wins may have come at a lower mark; running off MarkMv:-2 still means he is only 2lb below his last win, which itself may refle…
  • Venetian Lion (HG:t) flags a headgear angle on good ground that could sharpen his performance, providing a specific tactical threat Walsingham's form profile may not be able to counter at this class…
Shortlist Walsingham, Venetian Lion, Milteye, Freddie Steady Go
Each-way: Milteye Danger: Venetian Lion

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f6y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade