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16:50 Southwell (AW) Thu 17 Sep 2026 6f16y Class 6 Good 14 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Jesse Luc silks

Jesse Luc

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Jesse Luc (SR:70, 7/2, 9-9) shares the top SR in the field alongside Willolarupi but carries 2lb less and is being backed with conviction — steaming in 47% from the open. The Course:W3P7 record at Southwell is exceptional for a Class 6 sprint, demonstrating genuine track affinity on this AW surface. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 8lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-8) is a powerful handicap scenario — the assessor has handed him a significant concession. Trainer Mike Murphy's 12% strike rate is modest but Callum Shepherd (16%, 1628 runners) is a high-volume jockey who recognises a well-weighted horse; the 47% market move is not noise. Each-way alternative: Willolarupi. Main danger: Willolarupi — Willolarupi (SR:70, 4/1) matches Jesse Luc on SR, carries only 2lb more, has course form (W1P1 at Southwell), and the 42% market move in is the strongest steaming signal in the race — if the money here is smarter than the 47% Jesse Luc move, Willolarupi wins.

Verify· #18250

Full result

Winner: Insuspense (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Insuspense silks Insuspense Fox #3 Ross Burdon · William Carver 5/1
  2. 2 Willolarupi silks Willolarupi Fox #2 Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley 4/1
  3. 3 Jesse Luc silks Jesse Luc Fox #1 Mike Murphy · Callum Shepherd 7/2
  4. 4 Zarinca silks Zarinca Edward Bethell · Connor Beasley 7/1
  5. 5 Preferred silks Preferred James Tate · David Probert 18/1
  6. 6 Staniel Cay silks Staniel Cay Grant Tuer · Oliver Stammers 8/1
  7. 7 Cool Doc Boy silks Cool Doc Boy Joey Ramsden · Finley Marsh 28/1
  8. 8 Woolridge silks Woolridge Scott Dixon · Kieran O'Neill 16/1
  9. 9 Blackjack silks Blackjack Alan Brown · Luke Morris 18/1
  10. 10 Von Krolock silks Von Krolock Fox #4 James Owen · Christian Howarth(3) 6/1
  11. 11 Bill Plumb silks Bill Plumb Phil McEntee · Grace McEntee 33/1
  12. 12 Sarafina Mshairi silks Sarafina Mshairi Edward Smyth-Osbourne · Rob Hornby 22/1
  13. 13 Sprinting Speed silks Sprinting Speed Jennie Candlish · Lewis Edmunds 28/1
  14. — Speeding Bullet silks Speeding Bullet Paul Midgley · Ryan Sexton -

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Jesse Luc silks Jesse Luc 7/2 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Willolarupi silks Willolarupi 4/1 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Insuspense silks Insuspense 5/1 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
  4. 4 Von Krolock silks Von Krolock 9/2 10TH