Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes · 6f16y
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 38 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Speeding Bullet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Bill Plumb | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Willolarupi | 4/1 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Von Krolock | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 13/2 Coral |
| 4 Staniel Cay | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 5.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 5 Cool Doc Boy | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Jesse Luc | 7/2 open 9.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Preferred | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 9 Insuspense | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 11/2 Coral |
| 10 Zarinca | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 11 Sarafina Mshairi | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Woolridge | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Blackjack | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Sprinting Speed | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jesse Luc owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Jesse Luc (SR:70, 7/2, 9-9) shares the top SR in the field alongside Willolarupi but carries 2lb less and is being backed with conviction — steaming in 47% from the open. The Course:W3P7 record at Southwell is exceptional for a Class 6 sprint, demonstrating genuine track affinity on this AW surface. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 8lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-8) is a powerful handicap scenario — the assessor has handed him a significant concession. Trainer Mike Murphy's 12% strike rate is modest but Callum Shepherd (16%, 1628 runners) is a high-volume jockey who recognises a well-weighted horse; the 47% market move is not noise. Each-way alternative: Willolarupi. Main danger: Willolarupi — Willolarupi (SR:70, 4/1) matches Jesse Luc on SR, carries only 2lb more, has course form (W1P1 at Southwell), and the 42% market move in is the strongest steaming signal in the race — if the money here is smarter than the 47% Jesse Luc move, Willolarupi wins.