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Mr Fox’s call
Rogue Supremacy
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Rogue Supremacy (SR 85, 5/1, 9-10) carries top weight but benefits from a mark that has dropped 6lb since last win — the most favourable MarkMv in the field — and has attracted 9% market support since opening, suggesting stable confidence. Archie Watson's 15% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the race, and Luke Morris (12%) is a reliable booking on this surface. While GoingFit:- is a concern and the form string reads 875593, the class remains identical to recent runs and the drop in mark offsets the weight. The market move is the decisive signal here, pointing to connections expecting a better showing than recent form suggests. Each-way alternative: Roi de Coeur. Main danger: Roi de Coeur — Roi de Coeur holds the highest SR in the field at 89, carries a favourable weight of 9-1, and Marco Botti's 16% strike rate is the best of any trainer today — despite the GoingFit:- flag and a 7lb higher mark, the raw ability advantage and light weight could be decisive if the market favourite is backed off the board.
Full result
Winner: Roi De Coeur (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Roi de Coeur Fox #2 13/8
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2
Rogue Supremacy Fox #1 9/2
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3
Sandy Craic Fox #3 11/2
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4
Indefensible 6/1
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5
Cool Molly 10/3
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Justice Court 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3