Southwell (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 4 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Free Bets On attheraces.com Selling Handicap Stakes

Free Bets On attheraces.com Selling Handicap Stakes · 1m13y

Official Result

Free Bets On attheraces.com Selling Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Roi De Coeur (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Marco Botti
    5/4F
  2. 5/1
  3. 5/1
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Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rogue Supremacy silks
Rogue Supremacy
Age 3 · 9-10
875593
81
85
94
3
9-10
9/2 9/2 4/1
Rogue Supremacy arrives as the top-rated runner in the field and, although winless in his last six starts, his third last time out is the most encouraging piece of recent form on show here, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Cool Molly silks
Cool Molly
Age 3 · 9-7
306832
78
79
80
3
9-7
10/3 10/3 9/4
Cool Molly arrives in fine recent nick — third two starts back and a runner-up last time out — and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating putting her right in contention; the risk is that she remains yet to win in her last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Roi de Coeur silks
Roi de Coeur
Age 3 · 9-1
651252
72
89
77
3
9-1
13/8 7/4 21/13
Roi de Coeur arrives here in solid heart, second last time out and a winner four starts back, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; the concern is whether he can convert consistency into victory from stall two off 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Indefensible silks
Indefensible
Age 3 · 9-1
533131
72
85
75
3
9-1
6/1 FCST 5/1
Ranked fifth of six on our figures, Indefensible is hard to fancy at the weights despite carrying 127 lb from stall four, though he has winning form in his last six starts — a winner last time out and a winner three starts back — and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sandy Craic silks
Sandy Craic
Age 3 · 9-0
512235
71
81
75
3
9-0
11/2 9/2 4/1
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Justice Court silks
Justice Court
Age 3 · 9-6
3-281
71
76
71
3
9-6
15/2 9/2 13/2
Justice Court returns just two days after his last start, which is an extremely quick turnaround, and ranked last of six on our figures he faces a stiff ask; the one bright spot is a win last time out, and he has experience of today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rogue Supremacy 9/2 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Cool Molly 10/3 7/2 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Roi de Coeur 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.00 7/4 7/4 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 Coral
4 Indefensible 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 5/1 5/1 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Sandy Craic 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
6 Justice Court 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Roi de Coeur

Speculative

Roi de Coeur owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Marco Botti Silvestre De Sousa
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Supremacy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Archie Watson
✓ Value Signal

Indefensible

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

6/1 · Ollie Pears
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Roi de Coeur
57.1 13/8
2 1. Rogue Supremacy
53.3 9/2
3 4. Indefensible
52.1 6/1
4 5. Sandy Craic
51.6 11/2
5 2. Cool Molly
50.5 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rogue Supremacy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-1
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-1
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-6
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rogue Supremacy
Confidence: Speculative

Rogue Supremacy (SR 85, 5/1, 9-10) carries top weight but benefits from a mark that has dropped 6lb since last win — the most favourable MarkMv in the field — and has attracted 9% market support since opening, suggesting stable confidence. Archie Watson's 15% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the race, and Luke Morris (12%) is a reliable booking on this surface. While GoingFit:- is a concern and the form string reads 875593, the class remains identical to recent runs and the drop in mark offsets the weight. The market move is the decisive signal here, pointing to connections expecting a better showing than recent form suggests. Each-way alternative: Roi de Coeur. Main danger: Roi de Coeur — Roi de Coeur holds the highest SR in the field at 89, carries a favourable weight of 9-1, and Marco Botti's 16% strike rate is the best of any trainer today — despite the GoingFit:- flag and a 7lb higher mark, the raw ability advantage and light weight could be decisive if the market favourite is backed off the board.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 875593 shows no win in 6 outings and a third was the best recent effort — no momentum building into this race despite the mark drop.
  • Carries top weight 9-10, the heaviest in the field, giving rivals like Roi de Coeur (9-1) and Indefensible (9-1) a significant pull of 9lb+ at the weights.
  • Course record W0P1 — never won at Southwell AW despite one placement; Indefensible (W1P1) and Cool Molly (W1P2) both have proven winning form on this specific track.
  • GoingFit flagged as concern by primary analyst; a 9% market move inward is modest and does not outweigh the lack of a course win and top weight burden on a surface that may not suit.
Shortlist Rogue Supremacy, Roi de Coeur, Sandy Craic
Each-way: Roi de Coeur Danger: Roi de Coeur

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade