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Mr Fox’s call
Havin A Flyer
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Havin A Flyer (SR 65, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 sprint and carries a featherweight 9-5, the lightest of the principal contenders. The form string 332134 shows consistent competitiveness and a recent win, and the Course:W1P2 flag confirms this horse handles Southwell — a specialist track where course form is a significant advantage. Silvestre De Sousa (14% career strike rate, 1567 runners) is the standout jockey booking in the race by some margin, and Rebecca Menzies is the stronger of the two Stable:1 runners from her yard, confirmed by the superior SR, course record, and top jockey allocation versus Tommie's Angel's claimer. The slight market drift of 7% is the one concern, but it may simply reflect punters chasing the steaming alternatives rather than a genuine negative signal on Havin A Flyer. Each-way alternative: Beach Partee. Main danger: Phoenix Beach — Phoenix Beach (SR 57, 11/2) has steamed in 38%, carries a very attractive -18lb mark drop since last win, holds Course:W1P1 at Southwell, and the yard's pattern strongly suggests this is Scott Dixon's intended runner over stablemate Beach Partee who has drifted 31%.
Full result
Winner: One For Harvey (GB) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
One For Harvey 9/2
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2
Mimime Fox #3 7/2
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3
Tommie's Angel 40/1
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4
Beach Partee Fox #2 8/1
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5
Kohana Girl 80/1
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6
Havin A Flyer Fox #1 5/1
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7
Phoenix Beach Fox #4 4/1
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8
Hvar 10/1
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9
Mariselle 40/1
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10
El Ghuwah 7/1
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11
Zonnebloem 20/1
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12
Mademoiselle Belle 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Havin A Flyer 7/2 6TH
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2
Beach Partee 11/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Mimime 11/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Phoenix Beach 11/2 7TH