Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes · 4f214y
SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 42 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 52 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 El Ghuwah | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 2 Hvar | 10/1 open 29.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 17/2 open 21.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 One For Harvey | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 | 5/1 William Hill |
| 4 Beach Partee | 8/1 open 5.50 | 17/2 open 5.00 | 9/1 open 5.00 | 9/1 open 5.00 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 5.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 5 Zonnebloem | 20/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 9.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 6 Phoenix Beach | 4/1 open 13.00 | 10/3 open 15.00 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 10/3 open 8.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Havin A Flyer | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 8 Mademoiselle Belle | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 9 Tommie's Angel | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Kohana Girl | 80/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Mariselle | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Mimime | 7/2 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Phoenix Beach owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 52 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 42 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Havin A Flyer (SR 65, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 sprint and carries a featherweight 9-5, the lightest of the principal contenders. The form string 332134 shows consistent competitiveness and a recent win, and the Course:W1P2 flag confirms this horse handles Southwell — a specialist track where course form is a significant advantage. Silvestre De Sousa (14% career strike rate, 1567 runners) is the standout jockey booking in the race by some margin, and Rebecca Menzies is the stronger of the two Stable:1 runners from her yard, confirmed by the superior SR, course record, and top jockey allocation versus Tommie's Angel's claimer. The slight market drift of 7% is the one concern, but it may simply reflect punters chasing the steaming alternatives rather than a genuine negative signal on Havin A Flyer. Each-way alternative: Beach Partee. Main danger: Phoenix Beach — Phoenix Beach (SR 57, 11/2) has steamed in 38%, carries a very attractive -18lb mark drop since last win, holds Course:W1P1 at Southwell, and the yard's pattern strongly suggests this is Scott Dixon's intended runner over stablemate Beach Partee who has drifted 31%.