← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Timely Affair
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Timely Affair (SR 74, 4/1) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and carries a manageable 9-12, giving it a clear SR edge over the rest while not shouldering punishing weight. The form string 213311 — read right to left — shows a win last time out, a win before that, and consistent near-the-front finishes, representing the most compelling recent form in this Class 5 company. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this distance, and William Knight (15% career strike rate) with Taylor Fisher aboard is a competent combination. The mark has crept up by 2lb since the last win (MarkMv:+2), which is a mild concern, but at 4/1 the market is respecting the form and the SR leadership justifies the price. Each-way alternative: Eduardo Calderon. Main danger: Dashing Dick — Dashing Dick (SR 65, 13/2) has steamed in 25% in the market, carries a favourable MarkMv:-7, has genuine course form (W1P8 at Yarmouth), and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions — if the market support reflects stable confidence this is a genuine threat.
Full result
Winner: Guest House (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Guest House 17/2
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2
Packetofbiscuits 20/1
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3
Born A Rebel 11/1
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4
Rusheen Boy 14/1
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5
Dashing Dick Fox #3 13/2
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6
Man of Desert 20/1
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7
Forever Endless 28/1
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8
Timely Affair Fox #1 5/1
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9
Mountain of Light 7/1
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10
New Bay Star 25/1
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11
Khuskhas Fox #4 9/1
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12
Eduardo Calderon Fox #2 11/2
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13
Makes Me Wonder 14/1
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14
Tactical Plan 14/1
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—
Montpellier Green 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Timely Affair 4/1 8TH
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2
Eduardo Calderon 13/2 12TH
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3
Dashing Dick 13/2 5TH
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4
Khuskhas 9/1 11TH