Packetofbiscuits has run over today's trip and going, and at 12 days since his last start he arrives fresh, with our rating of 77 suggesting he is ahead of his official mark of 70; winless in recent starts, but that opening in the weights is the prime case for him here.
Form last 6250786
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR77RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Timely Affair has winning form in recent starts — a winner last time out and again two starts back — but our figures rank him well below the field here, and 138 lb is a stiff burden from stall 12; experience over today's trip offers little consolation against a strong-looking line-up.
Form last 6213311
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR64RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rusheen Boy won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, but a mark of 67 and a speed rating of 54 suggest he faces a stiff ask from stall 8 carrying 137 lb.
Form last 6831551
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR65RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Dashing Dick carries 137 lb from stall one and faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 74 suggests he holds a touch more ability than his official mark of 67 implies.
Form last 6836564
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR75RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice runner-up in her last three starts, Mountain of Light brings consistent placed form to this contest, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 75 suggests she merits respect; the risk is that she remains yet to win.
Form last 67822
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in her last six starts, Born A Rebel nevertheless arrives with a consistent placed record — second three times and third once — and has experience of today's trip and conditions; 42 days off and a stall-14 draw round out a picture of solid-but-not-dominant form.
Form last 6202432
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tactical Plan has run over today's trip and going before, and his our rating of 75 puts him comfortably clear of his official mark — a genuine threat despite being winless in his last six starts, with the lengthy 77-day absence the main concern.
Form last 6048044
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR75RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts, New Bay Star does at least bring experience of today's distance and going, and a placed effort three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; the 135 lb burden and a sixth last time out, however, make him a tricky proposition from stall 10.
Form last 62-3206
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR70RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Consistent performer who has finished second twice and third once in his last five starts, Eduardo Calderon brings strong recent form into this, and his experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset carrying 134 lb from stall 3; the concern is he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6-24432
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR80RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Man of Desert showed better when second three runs back but has struggled either side of that effort; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 133 lb from stall six, and our rating of 71 gives him a slight pull on official figures.
Form last 6574277
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR71RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last four starts, all of them fifth-place finishes, Forever Endless is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked 11th of 15 runners; he has run over today's trip and returns after 26 days, but there is little in his recent profile to inspire confidence.
Form last 65555
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR64RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Guest House is ranked near the foot of our ratings and his official mark of 67 sits above our assessment, making him hard to fancy on figures alone, though two wins in his last six starts and a run 26 days ago suggest he arrives fit enough to take his chance.
Form last 6147314
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR63RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out and a winner three starts back, Khuskhas has experience of today's distance and going in her favour, though carrying 131 lb from stall 11 and a mixed recent record give her something to prove.
Form last 6-50142
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Makes Me Wonder has placed twice in that sequence — second last time out and second two starts back — yet ranks 13th of 15 on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 644-822
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR64RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Montpellier Green faces a stiff task from stall 13 off 122 lb; experience over today's trip and going is the one small consolation for connections.
Form last 68900-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR63RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Eduardo Calderon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Harry EustaceKaiya Fraser
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Timely Affair
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · William Knight✓ Value Signal
New Bay Star
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Michael Appleby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Timely Affair (SR 74, 4/1) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and carries a manageable 9-12, giving it a clear SR edge over the rest while not shouldering punishing weight. The form string 213311 — read right to left — shows a win last time out, a win before that, and consistent near-the-front finishes, representing the most compelling recent form in this Class 5 company. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this distance, and William Knight (15% career strike rate) with Taylor Fisher aboard is a competent combination. The mark has crept up by 2lb since the last win (MarkMv:+2), which is a mild concern, but at 4/1 the market is respecting the form and the SR leadership justifies the price.
Each-way alternative: Eduardo Calderon.
Main danger: Dashing Dick — Dashing Dick (SR 65, 13/2) has steamed in 25% in the market, carries a favourable MarkMv:-7, has genuine course form (W1P8 at Yarmouth), and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions — if the market support reflects stable confidence this is a genuine threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Eduardo Calderon shares the joint-top SR of 74 but carries 4lb less (9-8 vs 9-12) and is drifting in 6% in the market, suggesting market intelligence favours the lighter-weighted rival.
Taylor Fisher's 12% strike rate is notably below Oisin Murphy (22%) and Rossa Ryan (18%) riding rivals, and the trainer-jockey combo lacks the firepower of competing combinations today.
No 'Mkt:in' flag for Timely Affair — no market support beyond the opening price — contrasts with Dashing Dick (in25%) and Eduardo Calderon (in6%) both attracting late money.
Course record is thin: W0P1 at Yarmouth, while Rusheen Boy (W2P2), Dashing Dick (W1P8), and Guest House (W2P4) all carry far superior course form here.