← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Ballymackney
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Ballymackney (SR:58, 7/1) carries a very manageable 8-7 and is showing strong market confidence — steaming in 25% from opening — which in a wide-open 14-runner nursery at this level is a meaningful signal. Trainer Noel Meade (12% strike rate, 1162 runners — a substantial yard) has equipped the horse with blinkers first-time, a classic sharpener for a 5f juvenile handicap, and jockey Reese Holohan claims 7lb, effectively reducing the weight burden further. The form reads 7908 — the '8' last time out at 5f shows a marked improvement over earlier runs and suggests the penny is dropping. While GoingFit:- is a note of caution on good ground, the headgear introduction plus market steam overrides that concern in a field where every horse has meaningful question marks. Each-way alternative: Santo Parvenue. Main danger: Summer Sent You — Summer Sent You (SR:60, 7/2) has the second-highest SR in the field and carries only 9-2 with W.J. Lee (15% strike rate, 1828 rides) — the most accomplished jockey in the race — and despite drifting 26% the underlying SR edge means it cannot be ignored at the distance.
Full result
Winner: Santo Parvenue (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Santo Parvenue Fox #3 9/1
-
2
Docks 12/1
-
3
The Drambling Man 20/1
-
4
Invincible Irish 9/1
-
5
Lily Bear 7/1
-
6
Siege Of Tyre 28/1
-
7
Annie Batt Fox #4 7/2
-
8
Stellar Path 16/1
-
9
New Mexico 12/1
-
10
My Irish Lady 11/1
-
11
Ballymackney Fox #1 8/1
-
12
Summer Sent You Fox #2 7/2
-
13
Little Diva 16/1
-
14
Amigos Legacy 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Ballymackney 7/1 11TH
-
2
Summer Sent You 7/2 12TH
-
3
Santo Parvenue 9/1 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
-
4
Annie Batt 11/4 7TH