Annie Batt has shown consistent form with seconds three starts back and last time out, and she has run over today's trip and conditions before; the main risk is that she remains yet to score in her last three starts.
Form last 6202
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR66RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and 76 days off the track, New Mexico at least has experience over today's trip and conditions, and a rating of 70 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 65 implies; stall four with 133 lb to carry from a career of modest recent form means he needs to find plenty.
Form last 6567
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR70RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Winless in his last five starts, The Drambling Man nevertheless has experience over today's trip and going, while a 67 rating from stall three at 130 lb keeps him competitive — the 43-day absence is the query.
Form last 669690
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Invincible Irish faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround of just 13 days from stall one.
Form last 6007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR46RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Placed third last time out after a lean patch in the middle of her recent starts, Summer Sent You arrives fresh on 13 days' rest and has run over today's going before, though she remains winless in her last four and her rating of 60 leaves her mid-pack in a 14-runner field.
Form last 60053
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR60RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts, including two unplaced efforts, Lily Bear is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked well down the field; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a 45-day break at least means she returns fresh.
Form last 6700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR57RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Little Diva is hard to fancy despite the fitness edge of a 21-day break and experience over today's trip and going; carrying 124 lb from stall 13 does her no favours either.
Form last 65906
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR55RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Yet to score in her last three starts, and a trainer in the depths of a winless spell of 0 from 26 adds little confidence, though My Irish Lady has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 34 days off the track.
Form last 6600
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, with a run of eighth and ninth-place finishes giving little encouragement, Stellar Path carries 122 lb from stall 10 on familiar distance and going, though her rating of 61 suggests she retains some ability to find improvement.
Form last 698890
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR61RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last three starts and returning after a 48-day break, Amigos Legacy does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and our rating of 60 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 53 implies, though his recent string of unplaced efforts is hard to ignore.
Form last 6670
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR60RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Docks faces a stiff ask here, with consecutive unplaced efforts doing little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, but 68 days off and 120 lb from stall 14 add further complications.
Form last 6900
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR49RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, with an eighth last time out and a string of unplaced efforts behind her, Ballymackney faces a stiff ask here, and a trainer striking at just 4% recently adds to the concern, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.
Form last 67908
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR60RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts, Siege Of Tyre arrives 39 days since her most recent run but does bring experience of today's trip and conditions; carrying 119 lb from stall 11, she looks a likely mid-division type against stronger-rated rivals.
Form last 6080
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR58RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Santo Parvenue rates as the standout on our figures despite being winless in his last three starts, and he has experience of today's distance and going to call upon; the concern is that 77 days off the track leaves a fitness question to answer.
Form last 6447
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR73RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Summer Sent You owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2K J CondonW. J. Lee
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Annie Batt
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · A. Slattery✓ Value Signal
Siege Of Tyre
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Kieran P Cotter◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ballymackney (SR:58, 7/1) carries a very manageable 8-7 and is showing strong market confidence — steaming in 25% from opening — which in a wide-open 14-runner nursery at this level is a meaningful signal. Trainer Noel Meade (12% strike rate, 1162 runners — a substantial yard) has equipped the horse with blinkers first-time, a classic sharpener for a 5f juvenile handicap, and jockey Reese Holohan claims 7lb, effectively reducing the weight burden further. The form reads 7908 — the '8' last time out at 5f shows a marked improvement over earlier runs and suggests the penny is dropping. While GoingFit:- is a note of caution on good ground, the headgear introduction plus market steam overrides that concern in a field where every horse has meaningful question marks.
Each-way alternative: Santo Parvenue.
Main danger: Summer Sent You — Summer Sent You (SR:60, 7/2) has the second-highest SR in the field and carries only 9-2 with W.J. Lee (15% strike rate, 1828 rides) — the most accomplished jockey in the race — and despite drifting 26% the underlying SR edge means it cannot be ignored at the distance.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
The '0' in Ballymackney's form string (7908) means a pulled-up or last-place finish sandwiched around that '8', raising doubts about consistency — the improvement last time may be a one-off rather th…
GoingFit:- is flagged yet unexplained, suggesting Ballymackney may have an unresolved going preference issue on today's good ground at Naas, which is a specific fitness/suitability concern.
First-time blinkers (HG:b) is a double-edged sharpener — Santo Parvenue (#14, SR:58, same weight) also runs in blinkers today with more consistent form (447) and is also market-backed at 9/1, directl…
Jockey Reese Holohan claims 7lb but his overall strike rate is just 11% from 239 rides — competent but not elite, and in a 14-runner juvenile sprint where positioning off the pace is critical, experi…
ShortlistBallymackney, Summer Sent You, Santo Parvenue, Annie Batt