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British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Hickory Lad
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hickory Lad carries the highest SR in the field at 110 — a clear 5-point edge over Mussab (SR 105) and 12-13 points over the next group — and is sent off at 6/4 with no market drift, suggesting stable confidence. The form string 121383 shows a consistent presence at the sharp end, including recent wins, and the DistFit:+ confirms he handles today's 5f trip. Running off the same class (ClassMv:=) means no step into the unknown, and the flat 9-5 weight in an all-level-weights Listed field removes any burden concern. The GoingFit:? applies to the whole field given juvenile inexperience on soft, but Hickory Lad's SR superiority and market position make him the most reliable vehicle in an uncertain race. Each-way alternative: Dubai Champion. Main danger: Mussab — Mussab (SR 105, 4/1) was a last-time-out winner and while drifting 18% is a concern, the Fahey yard carries a 10% SR from 570 runners and Oisin Orr's 14% strike rate gives the combination firepower if that drift proves misleading.
Full result
Winner: Mussab (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mussab Fox #2 4/1
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2
Dubai Champion Fox #3 3/1
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3
Dance A Jig 7/1
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4
Sydney Grace 22/1
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5
Hickory Lad Fox #1 6/4
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6
Nour 14/1
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7
Underdog 40/1
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8
Caturra Lights 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3