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Mr Fox’s call
Motawaared
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Motawaared (SR 71, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 5 field by a margin of 7 points over nearest rival Glorious Kitty, and crucially carries a light 9-4 — the same as the 11yo Jewel Maker — meaning his SR advantage is not neutralised by weight. The market has backed him in 21% from the open, Paul Mulrennan (14% strike rate, 2383 rides) is a strong booking for Jim Goldie (14%, 1997 runners), and a recent form line of 565422 shows consistent placed efforts suggesting he is knocking on the door. GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, and DistFit is moderate rather than poor, so there are no hard flags against today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Empirestateofmind. Main danger: Empirestateofmind — Empirestateofmind (SR 64, 13/2) has steamed in 22%, carries confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's soft ground, drops a class, is off a mark 20lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-20), holds course form (W1P2), and Jason Hart (14% SR) is a sharp jockey booking — the combination of big mark drop and proven soft-ground ability on this track makes him the most dangerous horse to Motawaared.
Full result
Winner: Empirestateofmind (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Empirestateofmind Fox #2 13/2
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2
Motawaared Fox #1 5/2
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3
Kelpie Grey Fox #4 7/1
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4
Thats My Boy Luke 10/1
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5
Eve's Boy 10/1
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6
Flying Fletcher 7/1
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7
Tap Dancer 10/1
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8
Glorious Kitty Fox #3 11/2
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9
Jewel Maker 40/1
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10
Royale Union 14/1
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11
Invincible Ruby 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Motawaared 5/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Empirestateofmind 13/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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3
Glorious Kitty 6/1 8TH
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4
Kelpie Grey 15/2 🥉 3RD