Ayr 16:15 RESULTED
Class 5 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Empirestateofmind (IRE) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn
    5/1
  2. 2/1F
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Glorious Kitty silks
Glorious Kitty
Age 4 · 9-13
511264
68
69
75
4
9-13
11/2 4/1 11/2
Glorious Kitty shaped with real promise when a second three starts back and has back-to-back wins four and five starts back to her name; our rating of 75 suggests she retains more ability than her official mark of 68 implies, and 20 days between runs keeps her fresh. The worry is consecutive moderate efforts latest and last time out.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Invincible Ruby silks
Invincible Ruby
Age 4 · 9-13
131293
68
58
72
4
9-13
16/1 8/1 16/1
Third last time out gives Invincible Ruby a recent placed finish to point to, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions, but the yard is in a cold spell at just 1 from 23 over the past fortnight, which makes confidence hard to muster at a mark of 68.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Empirestateofmind silks
Empirestateofmind
Age 8 · 9-12
099500
67
64
76
8
9-12
13/2 15/2 6/1
Ranked top of the field on our figures and with a speed rating of 78, Empirestateofmind brings distance and going experience and arrives here fresh on a 12-day turnaround, yet the concern is obvious: he is winless in his last six starts, with unplaced efforts dominating his recent figures.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Flying Fletcher silks
Flying Fletcher
Age 5 · 9-11
437696
66
57
75
5
9-11
7/1 8/1 7/1
Winless in his last six starts, Flying Fletcher nevertheless brings solid experience over today's trip and going, and a speed rating of 78 that suggests more ability than his official mark of 66 credits him with — the risk is that a sixth and ninth in recent outings raise stamina and consistency questions.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Royale Union silks
Royale Union
Age 3 · 9-9
7324
68
56
66
3
9-9
14/1 7/1 14/1
Royale Union has shown consistent placing ability, finishing third and second in her last four starts, though she remains yet to win and our rating of 66 sees her ranked sixth of eleven; carrying 135 lb from stall eight, she has run over today's trip before and returns after 23 days.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Eve's Boy silks
Eve's Boy
Age 4 · 9-7
726687
62
55
76
4
9-7
10/1 7/1 10/1
Winless in his last six starts, Eve's Boy at least brings distance and going experience to the table, and 27 days between runs leaves him fresh; carrying 133 lb from stall seven, our rating of 76 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 62 implies.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Jewel Maker silks
Jewel Maker
Age 11 · 9-4
776417
59
38
64
11
9-4
40/1 20/1 40/1
Jewel Maker has been largely struggling in recent starts, finishing seventh three times in his last six, and his ranking of ninth of eleven on our figures makes him hard to fancy; he does carry the experience of today's trip and conditions, and a win two starts back at least confirms he can find the line first.
AI verdict

SR 38 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Motawaared silks
Motawaared
Age 4 · 9-4
565422
59
71
65
4
9-4
5/2 10/3 5/2
Consistent without being a winner, Motawaared has finished second in each of his last two starts yet remains yet to win in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and carries 130 lb from stall 10, though our rating of 65 ranks him eighth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Kelpie Grey silks
Kelpie Grey
Age 6 · 9-1
068077
56
59
66
6
9-1
7/1 15/2 6/1
Winless in his last six starts and returning just one day after his most recent outing, Kelpie Grey faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 66 offers a shade of encouragement from stall two at 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Thats My Boy Luke silks
Thats My Boy Luke
Age 5 · 8-12
045632
53
52
61
5
8-12
10/1 6/1 9/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Thats My Boy Luke faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround just six days after finishing second last time out.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Tap Dancer silks
Tap Dancer
Age 4 · 8-10
467376
51
55
61
4
8-10
10/1 14/1 10/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Tap Dancer faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and does carry a light 122 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Glorious Kitty 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Paddy Power
2 Invincible Ruby 16/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 Paddy Power
3 Empirestateofmind 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 13/2 Bet365
4 Flying Fletcher 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 Bet365
5 Royale Union 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Eve's Boy 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Jewel Maker 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 Paddy Power
8 Motawaared 5/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Paddy Power
9 Kelpie Grey 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
10 Thats My Boy Luke 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
11 Tap Dancer 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Motawaared

Speculative

Motawaared owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Empirestateofmind

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · John & Sean Quinn
✓ Value Signal

Jewel Maker

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Motawaared
50.2 5/2
2 3. Empirestateofmind
48.2 13/2
3 9. Kelpie Grey
46.0 7/1
4 1. Glorious Kitty
45.7 11/2
5 4. Flying Fletcher
45.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Motawaared
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 4 · 9-4
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-13
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-11
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-1
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 8-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 8-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Motawaared
Confidence: Speculative

Motawaared (SR 71, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 5 field by a margin of 7 points over nearest rival Glorious Kitty, and crucially carries a light 9-4 — the same as the 11yo Jewel Maker — meaning his SR advantage is not neutralised by weight. The market has backed him in 21% from the open, Paul Mulrennan (14% strike rate, 2383 rides) is a strong booking for Jim Goldie (14%, 1997 runners), and a recent form line of 565422 shows consistent placed efforts suggesting he is knocking on the door. GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, and DistFit is moderate rather than poor, so there are no hard flags against today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Empirestateofmind. Main danger: Empirestateofmind — Empirestateofmind (SR 64, 13/2) has steamed in 22%, carries confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's soft ground, drops a class, is off a mark 20lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-20), holds course form (W1P2), and Jason Hart (14% SR) is a sharp jockey booking — the combination of big mark drop and proven soft-ground ability on this track makes him the most dangerous horse to Motawaared.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form sequence 565422 shows consistent placing but no win in six runs — a horse repeatedly finishing 2nd-5th may lack the finishing kick to convert at Ayr today.
  • GoingFit is unknown and HG code 'p' (p for previous going preference) is unconfirmed for today's conditions; if Ayr is softer than ideal he has no proven record to fall back on.
  • Stable companion Kelpie Grey (same Jim Goldie yard, Stable:2) is only 1 day since last run and has Daniel Tudhope — a higher-strike-rate jockey (18%) — booked, raising a potential stable split that c…
  • At 5/2 in an 11-runner Class 5 sprint, Motawaared's SR lead of 7 points over Glorious Kitty (who is 6/1 and course-placed twice) may be overpriced for a horse yet to win in six recent attempts.
Shortlist Motawaared, Empirestateofmind, Glorious Kitty, Kelpie Grey
Each-way: Empirestateofmind Danger: Empirestateofmind

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade