← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sorrengail
MEDIUM Advised 4/7 SP 8/11F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Sorrengail (SR 100, 4/7) is the clear class leader in this five-runner field by a substantial margin — 9 SR points clear of the next-best Sweetwonderfulyou (SR 91) and 14 clear of Spirit of Lyra (SR 86). The Appleby/Buick combination is elite (33% and 25% strike rates respectively), the market has steamered in 16% to a dominant 4/7, and proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) at 7f removes any trip concern. The only modest flag is unknown going fitness, but on good ground as a lightly-raced two-year-old that is standard uncertainty rather than a genuine negative. Each-way alternative: Sweetwonderfulyou. Main danger: Sweetwonderfulyou — Sweetwonderfulyou (SR 91, 7/2) has a course win to her name (Course:W1P1), is trained by the in-form Haggas yard (23% strike rate), has steamed in 15% in the market, and her form of 31 shows progressive improvement — if Sorrengail is below her best or the class rise unsettles her, Sweetwonderfulyou is best placed to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: Sorrengail (GB) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sorrengail Fox #1 4/5
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2
Learning 9/1
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3
Sweetwonderfulyou Fox #2 9/4
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4
Spirit of Lyra Fox #3 9/1
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Miss Miniver -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sorrengail 4/7 SP 8/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Sweetwonderfulyou 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Spirit of Lyra 17/2 🏁 4TH