Newbury 14:22 RESULTED
Class 2 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)

Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race) · 7f

Official Result

Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sorrengail (GB) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    8/11F
  2. Second Learning (GB)
    14/1
  3. 7/4
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Miss Miniver silks
Miss Miniver
Age 2 · 9-6
21
84
70
77
2
9-6
SP 11/4 3/1
Lightly raced but in sharp form, she won last time out and was second the start before that, returning fit just 15 days later having run over today's trip; the main concern is that our rating of 77 leaves her with something to find on these terms.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Sorrengail silks
Sorrengail
Age 2 · 9-4
412
89
100
84
2
9-4
4/5 8/13 2/3
Sorrengail won two starts back and ran a fine second last time out, showing consistent form that makes her the one to beat here; the trainer is firing at 42% over the past fortnight, and she has experience over today's trip to call on.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Sweetwonderfulyou silks
Sweetwonderfulyou
Age 2 · 9-4
31
86
91
79
2
9-4
9/4 4/1 2/1
Sweetwonderfulyou won last time out and has run over today's trip, making her a lively threat from stall two off 130 lb, though her speed rating leaves a slight question mark against the top-rated rivals.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Learning silks
Learning
Age 2 · 9-0
54
77
80
2
9-0
9/1 10/1 17/2
Winless in her last two starts, Learning nonetheless brings distance experience and a competitive rating of 80 in a five-runner field, making her a genuine threat from stall one — the chief concern is her trainer's current 5% strike rate.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Spirit of Lyra silks
Spirit of Lyra
Age 2 · 9-0
412
81
86
77
2
9-0
9/1 7/1 8/1
Ranked bottom of the five on our figures with a speed rating of 64, Spirit of Lyra faces a stiff ask, though she does bring distance and going experience to the table and was a winner two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Miss Miniver 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 Paddy Power
2 Sorrengail 4/5 open 2.10 4/6 open 2.00 5/6 open 1.73 5/6 open 1.73 10/11 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.73 10/11 William Hill
3 Sweetwonderfulyou 9/4 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 9/4 Bet365
4 Learning 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Spirit of Lyra 9/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sorrengail

Speculative

Sorrengail owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Charlie Appleby William Buick
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sweetwonderfulyou

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Miss Miniver

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · Roger Varian
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Sorrengail
59.0 4/5
2 3. Sweetwonderfulyou
56.1 9/4
3 5. Spirit of Lyra
50.6 9/1
4 4. Learning
50.3 9/1
5 1. Miss Miniver
44.7 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sorrengail
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-4
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 100 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sorrengail
Confidence: Medium

Sorrengail (SR 100, 4/7) is the clear class leader in this five-runner field by a substantial margin — 9 SR points clear of the next-best Sweetwonderfulyou (SR 91) and 14 clear of Spirit of Lyra (SR 86). The Appleby/Buick combination is elite (33% and 25% strike rates respectively), the market has steamered in 16% to a dominant 4/7, and proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) at 7f removes any trip concern. The only modest flag is unknown going fitness, but on good ground as a lightly-raced two-year-old that is standard uncertainty rather than a genuine negative. Each-way alternative: Sweetwonderfulyou. Main danger: Sweetwonderfulyou — Sweetwonderfulyou (SR 91, 7/2) has a course win to her name (Course:W1P1), is trained by the in-form Haggas yard (23% strike rate), has steamed in 15% in the market, and her form of 31 shows progressive improvement — if Sorrengail is below her best or the class rise unsettles her, Sweetwonderfulyou is best placed to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Sorrengail's most recent form figure is '2' — she was beaten last time out, suggesting she may not be at peak form heading into this race.
  • Sweetwonderfulyou has a course W1P1 record at Newbury and is also steaming in (15%), making her a proven course performer who could exploit any Sorrengail vulnerability.
  • Spirit of Lyra has Ryan Moore aboard (24% strike rate) and has steamed in 29% — the sharpest move in the field — suggesting market confidence that may reflect insider knowledge of an improving filly.
  • At 4/7, Sorrengail offers very thin margin for error; a single unfavourable draw position or slow break could prove costly against opponents who are also improving and course-suited.
Shortlist Sorrengail, Sweetwonderfulyou, Spirit of Lyra
Each-way: Sweetwonderfulyou Danger: Sweetwonderfulyou

🗺 The Course Class 2

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade