← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Weleyff
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Weleyff (SR:90, 4/1) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a dramatic market move — in 26% since opening — suggesting informed money is firmly behind this selection. The form string 3110 reads right-to-left as a last-time-out win, backed by two prior wins in the sequence, and a class drop of two tiers means he arrives in a more comfortable environment than his last competitive assignments. William Buick (25% career strike rate, 1473 runners) is an elite booking that adds further confidence, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over 7f. The weight of 9-9 is manageable at this class level given the SR advantage. Each-way alternative: Jumeirah Storm. Main danger: Jumeirah Storm — Jumeirah Storm (SR:91 — fractionally the highest in the field, 11/2, Mkt:in15%) carries the top SR, is also dropping two class tiers, and the market has shortened 15% — with Hector Crouch (18% strike rate) booked, this horse has every right to reverse the SR deficit with Weleyff if the cheekpieces (HG:p) sharpen the response.
Full result
Winner: Silver Sovereign (GB) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Silver Sovereign Fox #3 7/2
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2
Theheatison 14/1
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3
Jumeirah Storm Fox #2 11/2
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4
Weleyff Fox #1 9/2
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5
Magi Melchior 16/1
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6
Sonny Parvenue 22/1
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7
Next of Kin Fox #4 4/1
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8
Isabella de Vega 14/1
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9
Mojito Madness 25/1
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10
Sakowin 22/1
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11
The Bookkeeper 11/2
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—
My A'Ali Baba 50/1
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—
First Mate 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Weleyff 4/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Jumeirah Storm 11/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Silver Sovereign 7/2 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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4
Next of Kin 5/1 7TH