Newbury 14:57 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap Stakes

Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap Stakes · 7f

Official Result

Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Silver Sovereign (GB) Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox
    3/1F
  2. 11/1
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Weleyff silks
Weleyff
Age 2 · 9-9
3110
85
90
81
2
9-9
9/2 11/2 10/3
Weleyff won two of his last four starts, including back-to-back victories, but flopped last time out and a rating of 81 leaves him below the top end of this field; he has run over today's trip and going before and draws stall two carrying 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Sonny Parvenue silks
Sonny Parvenue
Age 2 · 9-9
184
85
62
91
2
9-9
22/1 11/1 16/1
Sonny Parvenue advertises a lively chance on our rating of 91, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the main concern is a trainer operating at just 5% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
The Bookkeeper silks
The Bookkeeper
Age 2 · 9-7
41436
83
88
93
2
9-7
11/2 9/2 4/1
Third two starts back and a winner four starts back, The Bookkeeper arrives here on the back of a sixth last time out but has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 93 makes him a leading danger — the chief concern is his trainer's wretched recent strike rate.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Jumeirah Storm silks
Jumeirah Storm
Age 2 · 9-6
4126
82
91
94
2
9-6
11/2 6/1 11/2
Jumeirah Storm ran second two starts back and was a winner three starts back, bringing solid recent form into this, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the 132 lb burden is the one query, but on a rating of 94 he heads the field as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
My A'Ali Baba silks
My A'Ali Baba
Age 2 · 9-4
153059
80
54
85
2
9-4
50/1 35/1 40/1
Ninth last time out is a concern, though a third four starts back and a win six starts back show he retains ability; experience over today's trip and going helps, and 130 lb from stall three is the weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

6
Next of Kin silks
Next of Kin
Age 2 · 9-1
31
77
79
75
2
9-1
4/1
Rated well below most of her rivals on these figures and ranked near the foot of the field, Next of Kin faces a stiff ask, though she arrives on the back of a win last time out, has run over today's trip, and carries a manageable 127 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mojito Madness silks
Mojito Madness
Age 2 · 9-1
5319
77
61
76
2
9-1
25/1 22/1 20/1
Ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Mojito Madness is hard to fancy after finishing ninth last time out, and his sole recent win came two starts back, though he has distance and going experience and returns on a manageable 27-day freshener.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Theheatison silks
Theheatison
Age 2 · 9-1
514325
77
69
89
2
9-1
14/1 12/1 11/1
Theheatison shaped with promise when second two starts back and a winner five starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but fifth last time out cools enthusiasm a touch; the 127 lb burden from stall 10 gives the handicapper's say-so plenty of sway.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Silver Sovereign silks
Silver Sovereign
Age 2 · 9-1
21
77
84
80
2
9-1
7/2 5/2 10/3
Landed a win last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour, but 42 days off the track raises a fitness query and a rating of 80 has her ranked eighth of thirteen here.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Magi Melchior silks
Magi Melchior
Age 2 · 8-13
4403
75
65
77
2
8-13
16/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in his last four starts, Magi Melchior at least showed something with a third last time out, though a trainer strike-rate of just 5% over the past fortnight is a concern, and he ranks ninth of thirteen on ratings.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

11
Isabella de Vega silks
Isabella de Vega
Age 2 · 8-9
33
71
64
71
2
8-9
14/1 12/1 9/1
Isabella de Vega has finished third in each of her last two starts but ranks twelfth of thirteen on our figures, and a trainer striking at just 2% over the past fortnight makes it hard to fancy, despite having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Sakowin silks
Sakowin
Age 2 · 8-8
8591
70
64
90
2
8-8
22/1 17/2 22/1
Sakowin brings winning form into this, scoring last time out, and has run over today's trip and going — his profile lines up well here, with our rating of 90 underlining his claims. The main risk is a trainer operating at just 5% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
First Mate silks
First Mate
Age 2 · 8-7
774
69
55
65
2
8-7
16/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, First Mate faces a stiff ask here; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, and 37 days between runs suggests he arrives reasonably fresh, but that is about as far as the case for him goes.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Weleyff 9/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Sonny Parvenue 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
3 The Bookkeeper 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Jumeirah Storm 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 Paddy Power
5 My A'Ali Baba 50/1 50/1 open 36.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365
6 Next of Kin 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
7 Mojito Madness 25/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 22/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Theheatison 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 14/1 14/1 11/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Silver Sovereign 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
10 Magi Melchior 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
11 Isabella de Vega 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
12 Sakowin 22/1 open 9.50 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 25/1 Paddy Power
13 First Mate 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Next of Kin

Speculative

Next of Kin owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 William Haggas Cieren Fallon
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Silver Sovereign

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Clive Cox
✓ Value Signal

Mojito Madness

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gihan Arnolda
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Next of Kin
55.5 4/1
2 9. Silver Sovereign
54.0 7/2
3 4. Jumeirah Storm
53.8 11/2
4 3. The Bookkeeper
53.2 11/2
5 1. Weleyff
53.1 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Weleyff
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 2 · 9-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 2 · 8-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 8-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
Age 2 · 8-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Weleyff
Confidence: Speculative

Weleyff (SR:90, 4/1) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a dramatic market move — in 26% since opening — suggesting informed money is firmly behind this selection. The form string 3110 reads right-to-left as a last-time-out win, backed by two prior wins in the sequence, and a class drop of two tiers means he arrives in a more comfortable environment than his last competitive assignments. William Buick (25% career strike rate, 1473 runners) is an elite booking that adds further confidence, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over 7f. The weight of 9-9 is manageable at this class level given the SR advantage. Each-way alternative: Jumeirah Storm. Main danger: Jumeirah Storm — Jumeirah Storm (SR:91 — fractionally the highest in the field, 11/2, Mkt:in15%) carries the top SR, is also dropping two class tiers, and the market has shortened 15% — with Hector Crouch (18% strike rate) booked, this horse has every right to reverse the SR deficit with Weleyff if the cheekpieces (HG:p) sharpen the response.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jumeirah Storm holds a higher SR (91 vs 90) and is also market-supported (in15%), ridden by a competent jockey — Weleyff's SR edge is marginal at best and does not dominate the field.
  • Silver Sovereign (SR:84, 7/2 market favourite) has a cleaner two-run form string of 21 with recency unknown (no Days listed), suggesting a very fresh horse potentially peaking at the right time.
  • Weleyff carries 9-9 — the joint-heaviest weight in the field — which on a stiff Newbury track over 7f can be a meaningful impost, especially against rivals carrying 9-1 or less.
  • The 'class drop of two tiers' could indicate Weleyff has been found out at higher levels; a horse dropped significantly in class that still only drifted to 4/1 rather than odds-on raises a question a…
Shortlist Weleyff, Jumeirah Storm, Silver Sovereign, Next of Kin
Each-way: Jumeirah Storm Danger: Jumeirah Storm

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade