← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Bin Jahwar
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/13 SP 2/5F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Bin Jahwar (SR 91, 8/13) is the standout on every meaningful metric. His SR of 91 is joint-highest in the field alongside Apulia Bay but he arrives with the most potent connections — Charlie Appleby's 33% career strike rate is the best of any trainer here, and William Buick (25%, 1,473 runners) is a formidable booking at this level. His single-run form of '1' shows he already won on debut, stepping up in class (↑1) having already demonstrated the requisite ability. Apulia Bay is rising two classes (↑2) off a mark 6lb higher than his last win, which represents a meaningful ask, while Bin Jahwar's price of 8/13 reflects genuine market conviction rather than blind favouritism — Appleby/Buick at Newbury in a conditions stakes for two-year-olds is a combination that demands respect. Each-way alternative: Apulia Bay. Main danger: Apulia Bay — Apulia Bay (SR 92, 9/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the race, his form of 3-2-1 shows a progressive profile, and Oisin Murphy is an elite booking — if the double class-jump (↑2) and 6lb higher mark prove less of a barrier than expected on good ground, he is the one with the ability to cause the upset.
Full result
Winner: Bin Jahwar (IRE) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bin Jahwar Fox #1 8/13
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2
King High 20/1
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3
Apulia Bay Fox #2 12/1
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4
Flying Pirate Fox #3 9/1
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5
Grove Street 16/1
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6
Noble Traveller 40/1
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7
The Balearic Sun 80/1
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8
Algaihabane 11/1
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9
Yuzuru 100/1
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Impasto Fox #4 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4