Newbury 15:32 RESULTED
Class 2 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes

Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes · 1m

Official Result

Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bin Jahwar (IRE) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    2/5F
  2. 22/1
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Algaihabane silks
Algaihabane
Age 2 · 9-4
71
55
58
2
9-4
11/1 6/1 10/1
Ranked ninth of ten on our figures and with a speed rating that leaves plenty to find, Algaihabane is hard to fancy despite a win last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, the trainer is firing at 29% and 21 days' rest should leave him fresh.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bin Jahwar silks
Bin Jahwar
Age 2 · 9-4
1
91
83
2
9-4
8/13 2/3 4/7
Bin Jahwar arrives on the back of a victory last time out, his trainer firing at a sharp 42% strike rate over the past fortnight, and he has run over today's trip before; the main risk is whether 34 days off the track has left him short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
King High silks
King High
Age 2 · 9-4
41
53
64
2
9-4
20/1 7/1 16/1
King High won last time out but that single victory in his last two starts is tempered by a fourth the run before, and he has been off the track 35 days; experience over today's trip is a plus, though 130 lb from stall nine is no small ask.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
The Balearic Sun silks
The Balearic Sun
Age 2 · 9-4
91
27
47
2
9-4
80/1 20/1 50/1
Rated lowest in a field of ten on our figures, The Balearic Sun faces a stiff task despite winning last time out; 64 days off the track and carrying 130 lb make him hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 27 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Apulia Bay silks
Apulia Bay
Age 2 · 9-2
321
92
92
83
2
9-2
12/1 7/1 11/1
Apulia Bay arrives in fine fettle, a winner last time out and placed second two starts back, with experience over today's trip adding to his claims; the main risk is a 38-day absence that leaves fitness a minor query at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Flying Pirate silks
Flying Pirate
Age 2 · 9-2
131
91
91
85
2
9-2
9/1 17/2 9/1
Flying Pirate arrives on the back of a win 15 days ago, with two victories in his last three starts painting a picture of a horse in fine fettle; drawn in stall one and carrying 128 lb, he looks the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Grove Street silks
Grove Street
Age 2 · 9-0
22
84
76
77
2
9-0
16/1 18/1 14/1
Grove Street has finished second in each of his last two starts and shaped with plenty of promise, and with distance experience to call on and a fitness boost after 31 days off, he looks a genuine threat here — though he remains yet to win and will need to convert that consistency into something more decisive.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Impasto silks
Impasto
Age 2 · 9-0
2
62
59
2
9-0
6/1 17/2 11/2
Beaten last time out and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Impasto faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround carrying 126 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Noble Traveller silks
Noble Traveller
Age 2 · 9-0
24
44
63
2
9-0
40/1 FCST 33/1
Noble Traveller shaped with promise when second two starts back, but he heads here yet to win in recent starts, a struggling yard at just 5% in the last fortnight is a concern, and his 126 lb burden from stall ten adds further questions for this distance-proven colt.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Yuzuru silks
Yuzuru
Age 2 · 9-0
4
40
62
2
9-0
100/1 50/1 80/1
Yuzuru was fourth last time out and has run over today's trip, but he heads here yet to win in recent starts, a trainer operating at just 5% over the past fortnight is a concern, and at 126 lb from stall six his rating of 62 leaves him mid-pack on paper.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Algaihabane 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Bin Jahwar 8/13 open 1.73 4/7 open 1.67 4/6 4/6 8/13 open 1.67 8/13 open 1.67 4/6 Coral
3 King High 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 20/1 Bet365
4 The Balearic Sun 80/1 open 29.00 80/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 80/1 Bet365
5 Apulia Bay 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Flying Pirate 9/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Grove Street 16/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Impasto 6/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 6/1 Bet365
9 Noble Traveller 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
10 Yuzuru 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bin Jahwar

Speculative

Bin Jahwar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/13 Charlie Appleby William Buick
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Flying Pirate

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Noble Traveller

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Richard Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Bin Jahwar
56.4 8/13
2 6. Flying Pirate
50.7 9/1
3 5. Apulia Bay
48.9 12/1
4 8. Impasto
48.7 6/1
5 7. Grove Street
42.4 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bin Jahwar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-4
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 91 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Age 2 · 9-0
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bin Jahwar
Confidence: Speculative

Bin Jahwar (SR 91, 8/13) is the standout on every meaningful metric. His SR of 91 is joint-highest in the field alongside Apulia Bay but he arrives with the most potent connections — Charlie Appleby's 33% career strike rate is the best of any trainer here, and William Buick (25%, 1,473 runners) is a formidable booking at this level. His single-run form of '1' shows he already won on debut, stepping up in class (↑1) having already demonstrated the requisite ability. Apulia Bay is rising two classes (↑2) off a mark 6lb higher than his last win, which represents a meaningful ask, while Bin Jahwar's price of 8/13 reflects genuine market conviction rather than blind favouritism — Appleby/Buick at Newbury in a conditions stakes for two-year-olds is a combination that demands respect. Each-way alternative: Apulia Bay. Main danger: Apulia Bay — Apulia Bay (SR 92, 9/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the race, his form of 3-2-1 shows a progressive profile, and Oisin Murphy is an elite booking — if the double class-jump (↑2) and 6lb higher mark prove less of a barrier than expected on good ground, he is the one with the ability to cause the upset.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Bin Jahwar's entire form reads '1' — a single debut win. We have no second data point to confirm that performance was genuine or to gauge how he handles a step up in class or distance under race pres…
  • Flying Pirate (SR:91) has winning form over three runs including a recent win just 15 days ago, showing sharper race fitness, and is only drifting 11% in the market — a live rival at 10/1.
  • Apulia Bay carries SR:92 (fractionally superior) with three-run form of 321 showing proven course/track experience and class exposure Bin Jahwar simply lacks — the MarkMv:+6 concern cuts both ways if…
  • Impasto is drifting IN 19% at 15/2 off just 14 days' rest for Balding/Keane — unexposed two-year-olds steamrolling into the market late often signal stable confidence that can unseat odds-on debutant…
Shortlist Bin Jahwar, Apulia Bay, Flying Pirate, Impasto
Each-way: Apulia Bay Danger: Apulia Bay

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade