← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Catullus
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 2/1J Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Catullus (SR 114, 9/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight at 9-1, giving him a 3lb advantage over the next-best horses at 9-4 — meaningful at Listed level over 7f on good ground. His DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles both today's trip and conditions, and his form of -27103 shows a recent win followed by a placed effort, suggesting he is in good current form. The Appleby/Buick combination is the most potent in the field (trainer 33%, jockey 25%) and the market has nudged in 6% since opening — quiet but consistent support rather than panic money. The 49-day absence is a minor query but Appleby regularly targets big-day races off similar breaks and the market is not concerned. Each-way alternative: All Moonshine. Main danger: Elarak — Elarak (SR 112, 9/2) is steaming in 7% and Charles Hills/David Probert is a solid combination at Newbury; running off the same class mark and at 9-4 weight he is well-placed to run a big race if the market support is informed money.
Full result
Winner: Catullus (IRE) at SP 2/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Catullus Fox #1 2/1
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2
Leading Dancer 18/1
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3
Elarak Fox #2 11/2
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4
Myal 33/1
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5
Whip Cracker 16/1
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6
Spy Chief Fox #4 3/1
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7
Zoum Zoum 33/1
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8
Northern Champion 20/1
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Fondo Blanco 15/2
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All Moonshine Fox #3 17/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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4