Newbury 16:07 RESULTED
Class 1 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race)

Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race) · 7f

Official Result

Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Catullus (IRE) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    2/1J
  2. 22/1
  3. Third Elarak (GB)
    3/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Elarak silks
Elarak
Age 4 · 9-4
-44232
105
112
109
4
9-4
11/2 9/2 5/1
Elarak has been a model of consistency, finishing second, third, and second in recent starts, and with experience over today's trip and going, he shapes as a serious threat at 130 lb from stall nine; the concern is that he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Fondo Blanco silks
Fondo Blanco
Age 4 · 9-4
4-0023
104
97
103
4
9-4
15/2 5/1 7/1
Placed third last time out and second two starts back, Fondo Blanco has shown enough consistency to remain interesting, though he is winless in his last five starts and his rating of 103 leaves him ranked towards the lower end of this field.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Myal silks
Myal
Age 5 · 9-4
-51277
107
86
109
5
9-4
33/1 16/1 33/1
Myal showed smart form when winning four starts back and backed that up with a second three starts back, giving him a profile that makes him a genuine danger here; drawing stall seven carrying 130 lb on a quick turnaround of just six days is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Northern Champion silks
Northern Champion
Age 3 · 9-4
109108
106
94
105
3
9-4
20/1 20/1 18/1
Ran off 130 lb from stall one and his trainer is in a cold streak at 1 from 42 over the past fortnight, which tempers enthusiasm despite two wins in his last six starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, but an eighth last time out leaves him hard to fancy with confidence.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Spy Chief silks
Spy Chief
Age 4 · 9-4
638-20
108
112
115
4
9-4
3/1 9/4 3/1
Spy Chief shaped with promise when second two starts back and returns from 90 days off with a trainer firing at 29% — he has experience over today's trip and going, and carries 130 lb from stall 2, though he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Whip Cracker silks
Whip Cracker
Age 5 · 9-4
0-0321
100
88
97
5
9-4
16/1 10/1 15/1
SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Zoum Zoum silks
Zoum Zoum
Age 5 · 9-4
22-957
101
78
110
5
9-4
33/1 25/1 20/1
Zoum Zoum arrives here on a quick turnaround of 19 days, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour, and a rating of 110 ranks him second among these rivals; yet to score in his last five starts, and that winless run is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Catullus silks
Catullus
Age 3 · 9-1
-27103
107
114
108
3
9-1
2/1 FCST 32/17
Landed a win three starts back but has been unplaced since, and 49 days off the track is a query; third last time out shows a glimmer of returning form, and he has run over today's trip and going before, though rated fifth of ten he faces a stiff ask on 127 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
All Moonshine silks
All Moonshine
Age 4 · 8-13
1-1101
93
93
87
4
8-13
17/2
Boasts four wins in her last five starts, including a win last time out, and has run over today's trip, but 62 days off the track and a rating of 87 ranking her last of ten runners make her a tough sell despite that eye-catching recent record.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Leading Dancer silks
Leading Dancer
Age 3 · 8-10
311-
92
86
90
3
8-10
18/1 8/1 18/1
Leading Dancer has winning form — back-to-back victories in her last two starts — but 328 days off the track is a significant fitness query, and our figures rank her ninth of ten, making her hard to fancy despite the distance and going experience.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Elarak 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 11/2 Bet365
2 Fondo Blanco 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 Bet365
3 Myal 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Northern Champion 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 20/1 20/1 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
5 Spy Chief 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 Coral
6 Whip Cracker 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 15/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Betfred
7 Zoum Zoum 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Paddy Power
8 Catullus 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 2/1 Bet365
9 All Moonshine 17/2 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Paddy Power
10 Leading Dancer 18/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Spy Chief

Live signal

Spy Chief owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 John & Thady Gosden Ryan Moore
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Elarak

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Charles Hills
✓ Value Signal

Myal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Steph Hollinshead
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Spy Chief
62.8 3/1
2 1. Elarak
59.7 11/2
3 8. Catullus
59.5 2/1
4 2. Fondo Blanco
52.6 15/2
5 9. All Moonshine
52.3 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Catullus
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-1
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 114 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 4 · 9-4
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 8-13
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-10
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Catullus
Confidence: Speculative

Catullus (SR 114, 9/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight at 9-1, giving him a 3lb advantage over the next-best horses at 9-4 — meaningful at Listed level over 7f on good ground. His DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles both today's trip and conditions, and his form of -27103 shows a recent win followed by a placed effort, suggesting he is in good current form. The Appleby/Buick combination is the most potent in the field (trainer 33%, jockey 25%) and the market has nudged in 6% since opening — quiet but consistent support rather than panic money. The 49-day absence is a minor query but Appleby regularly targets big-day races off similar breaks and the market is not concerned. Each-way alternative: All Moonshine. Main danger: Elarak — Elarak (SR 112, 9/2) is steaming in 7% and Charles Hills/David Probert is a solid combination at Newbury; running off the same class mark and at 9-4 weight he is well-placed to run a big race if the market support is informed money.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -27103: the '0' is a non-completion or last-place finish sandwiched between modest efforts, and a single win followed by a place is a thin profile for Listed class at 9/4.
  • Spy Chief (SR 112, 3/1) carries Ryan Moore and the Gosden yard at 24% — despite a 90-day absence and a market drift of 14%, his strike rate and jockey combination represent a live danger that narrows…
  • Elarak (SR 112) is freshest of the danger horses at 27 days, has drifted only +9 marks in the market and holds a 7% inward move — potentially underestimated at 9/2 and gives away nothing on ratings w…
  • A 49-day absence for a 3-year-old stepping into Listed company is a meaningful unknown; the market's 6% nudge in is modest and MarkMv of only +11 suggests professional money is not especially animate…
Shortlist Catullus, Elarak, All Moonshine, Spy Chief
Each-way: All Moonshine Danger: Elarak

🗺 The Course Class 1

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade