← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Loz Vegas
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Loz Vegas (SR:85, 7/2) carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 9-7 and has steamed in 26% in the market — the strongest mover in the field — suggesting informed money behind a Peter Chapple-Hyam runner whose 14% strike rate is solid and Rossa Ryan (18% career strike rate) is the most accomplished jockey booking here. Although the form string 8-6540 looks modest, the class drop of two tiers (ClassMv:↓2) is a significant competitive advantage, and GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground. The weight edge over River Card (9-10) and Tambora (9-8) matters on good ground at 1m2f, and the sharp market move is not easily dismissed. Each-way alternative: River Card. Main danger: River Card — River Card (SR:92, 15/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, David Egan is a high-quality booking, and even with an 8% drift the market still has it as favourite — if the untested distance-and-going combination proves no issue, the SR advantage could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: River Card (IRE) at SP 15/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
River Card Fox #2 2/1
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2
Loz Vegas Fox #1 11/4
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3
Parlando 22/1
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4
Perfect Scoundrel 9/1
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5
Mythical Bird Fox #4 11/1
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6
Mohaaraj 16/1
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7
Raintown 16/1
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8
Gemmari 50/1
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—
Tambora Fox #3 7/2
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—
Accademia -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Loz Vegas 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
River Card 15/8 SP 15/8 🏆 WON
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3
Tambora 4/1
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4
Mythical Bird 10/1 5TH