← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Edmundson Electrical Cabletec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Depalma
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/11 SP 6/5F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Depalma (SR 107, 10/11) is the clear market leader and the Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination is formidable — 22% and 27% strike rates respectively from large sample sizes (2514 and 1621 career runners) represent genuine top-tier NH handling. The form string 31-232 shows consistent competitiveness across recent starts, the market has shortened 11% since opening indicating professional support, and a 14-day turnaround from a fit yard suggests they are targeting this race deliberately. The GoingFit:- on good ground is the primary concern and must be respected, but the class-leading connections and first-time hood (p — cheekpieces) often signal a trainer expecting a sharper performance. Pappano's superior SR of 146 is the theoretical danger, but a 447-day absence, a yard running at only 5%, and a prior P on record makes trusting that latent ability deeply speculative. Each-way alternative: Pappano. Main danger: Pappano — Pappano's SR of 146 is comfortably the highest in the field and a drop of two class tiers means if the 447-day layoff has not blunted its ability, it is significantly better on paper than anything else declared.
Full result
Winner: Depalma (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Depalma Fox #1 4/5
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2
Devon Red 11/1
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3
Penzance Fox #3 9/4
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4
Black Dakota 18/1
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5
Pappano Fox #2 9/1
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6
Dontcontradictme 33/1
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—
Ocean Rose 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Depalma 10/11 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Pappano 11/2 5TH
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3
Penzance 5/2 🥉 3RD