Newton Abbot 14:02 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Edmundson Electrical Cabletec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Edmundson Electrical Cabletec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race) · 2m5f122y

Official Result

Edmundson Electrical Cabletec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Depalma (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    6/5F
  2. 17/2
  3. 6/4
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Black Dakota silks
Black Dakota
Age 7 · 11-4
22-546
122
7
11-4
18/1 40/1 18/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Depalma silks
Depalma
Age 7 · 11-4
31-232
102
107
102OR
7
11-4
4/5 Evs 8/11
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Devon Red silks
Devon Red
Age 7 · 11-4
09/424
88
82
88OR
7
11-4
11/1 7/1 11/1
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dontcontradictme silks
Dontcontradictme
Age 6 · 11-4
38P-
127
6
11-4
33/1 14/1 33/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Pappano silks
Pappano
Age 5 · 11-4
P/
146
5
11-4
9/1 9/2 8/1
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Penzance silks
Penzance
Age 6 · 11-4
222043
105
108
105OR
6
11-4
9/4 18/13 9/4
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Ocean Rose silks
Ocean Rose
Age 5 · 10-11
666P
123
5
10-11
125/1 FCST 100/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Black Dakota 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Depalma 4/5 open 2.00 5/6 open 2.10 4/5 open 2.00 4/5 open 2.00 8/11 open 2.10 4/5 open 2.00 5/6 Paddy Power
3 Devon Red 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
4 Dontcontradictme 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Pappano 9/1 open 5.50 8/1 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Penzance 9/4 9/4 open 2.38 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.63 5/2 William Hill
7 Ocean Rose 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pappano

Live signal

Pappano owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (81) and market confidence (59). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/1 Syd Hosie Ellis Collier(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Depalma

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/5 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Ocean Rose

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Barry Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
81 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +30.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +12.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Pappano
65.0 9/1
2 2. Depalma
61.8 4/5
3 6. Penzance
61.2 9/4
4 7. Ocean Rose
53.2 125/1
5 1. Black Dakota
53.1 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Depalma
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-4
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 107 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 6 · 11-4
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 11-4
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 11-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Depalma
Confidence: Speculative

Depalma (SR 107, 10/11) is the clear market leader and the Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination is formidable — 22% and 27% strike rates respectively from large sample sizes (2514 and 1621 career runners) represent genuine top-tier NH handling. The form string 31-232 shows consistent competitiveness across recent starts, the market has shortened 11% since opening indicating professional support, and a 14-day turnaround from a fit yard suggests they are targeting this race deliberately. The GoingFit:- on good ground is the primary concern and must be respected, but the class-leading connections and first-time hood (p — cheekpieces) often signal a trainer expecting a sharper performance. Pappano's superior SR of 146 is the theoretical danger, but a 447-day absence, a yard running at only 5%, and a prior P on record makes trusting that latent ability deeply speculative. Each-way alternative: Pappano. Main danger: Pappano — Pappano's SR of 146 is comfortably the highest in the field and a drop of two class tiers means if the 447-day layoff has not blunted its ability, it is significantly better on paper than anything else declared.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit flag is absent (marked '-'), meaning Depalma has no confirmed suitability for today's good ground at Newton Abbot — a concrete negative datapoint, not a minor query.
  • SR of 107 is the second-lowest in the field; Penzance (108), Black Dakota (122), Dontcontradictme (127), and Pappano (146) all rate higher on raw ability, making Depalma an underdog on form figures d…
  • First-time cheekpieces (headgear 'p') introduce uncertainty — equipment changes can unsettle as easily as sharpen, and there is no prior hood record to indicate a positive response.
  • Penzance (5/2, SR 108, MarkMv +12) has been significantly backed in-race at a mark 12lb higher than starting point, suggesting market professionals see a viable rival at a much bigger price than Depa…
Shortlist Depalma, Pappano, Penzance
Each-way: Pappano Danger: Pappano

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m5f122y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade