← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Devondale Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Thickthorn Tom
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 45%
Mr Fox says
Thickthorn Tom (SR 130, 11/8) holds the best Saturday Rating in the field and carries 11-2lb less than Intosomethinggood (11-10 vs 10-8), a material weight advantage that amplifies the SR edge. The form string 121112 is outstanding — consistent, recent, and progressive — with the last run just 14 days ago confirming peak fitness. Course:W2P2 at Newton Abbot is a decisive specialist signal on a track where familiarity counts, and the Skelton yard (22% strike rate from 2,514 runners) with Harry Skelton aboard (27% from 1,621) is as powerful a training-jockey combination as exists in British jumping. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) makes the MarkMv:+10 rise manageable, and both DistFit and GoingFit are confirmed positives. Each-way alternative: Intosomethinggood. Main danger: Intosomethinggood — Despite the fitness concern from 188 days off, a class drop (ClassMv:↓1) combined with confirmed DistFit+ and GoingFit+ means the favourite could bounce back to the winning form that closed out its sequence, particularly if the layoff is training-related and deliberate from the Twiston-Davies yard.
Full result
Winner: Intosomethinggood (GB) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Intosomethinggood Fox #2 10/11
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2
Thickthorn Tom Fox #1 15/8
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3
It's A Breeze Fox #3 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Thickthorn Tom 11/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Intosomethinggood 5/4 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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3
It's A Breeze 9/2 🥉 3RD