Newton Abbot 15:12 RESULTED
Class 3 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Devondale Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Devondale Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m4f216y

Official Result

Devondale Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Intosomethinggood (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
    6/5F
  2. 5/4
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Intosomethinggood silks
Intosomethinggood
Age 5 · 11-10
284P1-
133
128
143
5
11-10
10/11 Evs 4/5
Intosomethinggood lands a winning effort last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him the one to beat off 133 despite a lengthy 188-day absence on 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 128 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.

2
Thickthorn Tom silks
Thickthorn Tom
Age 6 · 10-8
121112
117
130
120
6
10-8
15/8 Evs 7/4
Thickthorn Tom arrives in superb nick, a winner three of his last four starts and runner-up last time out, with experience over today's trip and going and only 14 days between runs; the weight burden of 148 lb is the one factor to overcome.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
It's A Breeze silks
It's A Breeze
Age 7 · 10-5
-P4112
106
121
115
7
10-5
9/2 FCST 4/1
It's A Breeze arrives in fine fettle, winning two of his last five starts and finishing second last time out, 22 days ago — a sharp, fit profile over today's trip and conditions. Conceding weight all round is the one challenge he must overcome.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Intosomethinggood 10/11 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.00 10/11 open 2.10 10/11 open 2.10 4/5 open 2.10 10/11 open 2.10 10/11 Bet365
2 Thickthorn Tom 15/8 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 Bet365
3 It's A Breeze 9/2 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Intosomethinggood

Live signal

Intosomethinggood owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Thickthorn Tom

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

It's A Breeze

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

9/2 · Paul Nicholls
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Intosomethinggood
66.7 10/11
2 2. Thickthorn Tom
66.2 15/8
3 3. It's A Breeze
61.9 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Thickthorn Tom
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 11-10
10/11
★★★★☆ SR 128 🐾

SR 128 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.

2
Age 6 · 10-8
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 130 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 7 · 10-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Thickthorn Tom
Confidence: Speculative

Thickthorn Tom (SR 130, 11/8) holds the best Saturday Rating in the field and carries 11-2lb less than Intosomethinggood (11-10 vs 10-8), a material weight advantage that amplifies the SR edge. The form string 121112 is outstanding — consistent, recent, and progressive — with the last run just 14 days ago confirming peak fitness. Course:W2P2 at Newton Abbot is a decisive specialist signal on a track where familiarity counts, and the Skelton yard (22% strike rate from 2,514 runners) with Harry Skelton aboard (27% from 1,621) is as powerful a training-jockey combination as exists in British jumping. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) makes the MarkMv:+10 rise manageable, and both DistFit and GoingFit are confirmed positives. Each-way alternative: Intosomethinggood. Main danger: Intosomethinggood — Despite the fitness concern from 188 days off, a class drop (ClassMv:↓1) combined with confirmed DistFit+ and GoingFit+ means the favourite could bounce back to the winning form that closed out its sequence, particularly if the layoff is training-related and deliberate from the Twiston-Davies yard.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+10 means Thickthorn Tom runs off a mark 10lb higher than last win — a double-digit rise in official rating is a meaningful handicapper's correction that often catches progressive horses out o…
  • It's A Breeze is drifting in the market (Mkt:in6%) despite a +15 mark rise, suggesting market confidence in a rival who also holds Course:W2P3 at Newton Abbot — matching Thickthorn Tom's course recor…
  • Intosomethinggood's 188-day absence (Form:284P1-) is a concern for connections, but 5/4 market favouritism implies significant professional support that could reflect information unavailable in publi…
  • Thickthorn Tom's tongue-tie (HG:tb) is a listed equipment note — if this is a first-time or recently reintroduced use, it may indicate a breathing or settling issue that hasn't yet been fully resolve…
Shortlist Thickthorn Tom, Intosomethinggood, It's A Breeze
Each-way: Intosomethinggood Danger: Intosomethinggood

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m4f216y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade