← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
Mr McWhinny
MEDIUM Advised 8/11 SP 8/15F Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Mr McWhinny (SR:95, 8/11) is the clear class standout in this field, rated 6 points above the next-best Rule Me In and 7 above My Cullen. The form string 141411 — six runs with four wins and two near-misses — is the strongest sequence in the race, and crucially the rightmost digit confirms a win last time out just 4 days ago, indicating peak fitness. He holds Course:W1P1 at Newton Abbot and his trainer Tom Ellis (13% strike rate) has the yard in form. At 11-7 he carries a fair weight but is not burdened compared to top-weight The Gypsy Davey on 12-0 who is a 14lb lower-rated horse. The GoingFit:~ is a minor note against, but good ground is far from a dealbreaker for a horse in this form, and no rival combines his SR, course experience, and momentum. Each-way alternative: Rule Me In. Main danger: Rule Me In — Rule Me In (SR:89, 7/2) has shortened 7% in the market, drops a class, carries a favourable 11-3, and Jack Tudor's 14% career strike rate represents the best jockey booking outside the favourite — if Mr McWhinny's quick turnaround (4 days) catches up with him, Rule Me In is positioned to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: Mr Mcwhinny (IRE) at SP 8/15F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mr McWhinny Fox #1 4/6
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2
Rule Me In Fox #2 4/1
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3
McGregors Charge 12/1
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4
Vengeance 18/1
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The Gypsy Davey 11/1
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My Cullen Fox #3 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3