Newton Abbot 16:55 RESULTED
Class 5 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple Chase

Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple Chase · 2m4f216y

Official Result

Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mr Mcwhinny (IRE) Jack Andrews · Tom Ellis
    8/15F
  2. 13/2
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
The Gypsy Davey silks
The Gypsy Davey
Age 8 · 12-0
P-4524
97
81
106
8
12-0
11/1 6/1 9/1
Fourth last time out but second two starts back, The Gypsy Davey heads this six-runner field as the top-rated contender, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; winless in his last five starts, he is asked to shoulder 168 lb on his return from 61 days off.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
My Cullen silks
My Cullen
Age 6 · 11-10
052402
93
88
90
6
11-10
8/1 5/1 15/2
Consistent sort, My Cullen has been placed twice in his last six starts and returns on a snappy 11-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour; the concern is he remains winless in recent starts and a hefty 164 lb ask may test his resolution late.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mr McWhinny silks
Mr McWhinny
Age 8 · 11-7
141411
83
95
81
8
11-7
4/6 FCST 4/7
Mr McWhinny has won four times in his last six starts, including back-to-back victories, but carrying 161 lb and ranked fifth of six on our figures makes him hard to fancy, even if he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a quick turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Rule Me In silks
Rule Me In
Age 7 · 11-3
5447-4
86
89
95
7
11-3
4/1 3/1 4/1
Rule Me In has run over today's trip and our rating of 95 puts him second among the six runners, making him a genuine threat despite carrying 157 lb; the main concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts and returns after 130 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Vengeance silks
Vengeance
Age 8 · 10-13
4554-3
82
70
85
8
10-13
18/1 17/2 14/1
Never far away, Vengeance has run over today's trip and going, and our rating nudges above his official mark, making him a genuine threat among the dangers; the main concern is 107 days off the track without a win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
McGregors Charge silks
McGregors Charge
Age 8 · 10-12
7-5424
81
73
77
8
10-12
12/1 8/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of six on our figures, McGregors Charge faces a stiff ask here, though a second in recent starts offers a crumb of hope and he has run over today's trip and going before, returning on a quick 11-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 The Gypsy Davey 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
2 My Cullen 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 8/1 Bet365
3 Mr McWhinny 4/6 open 2.20 8/13 open 1.57 4/6 open 1.73 4/6 open 1.73 8/13 open 1.80 4/7 open 1.73 4/6 Bet365
4 Rule Me In 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Paddy Power
5 Vengeance 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 11.00 18/1 Bet365
6 McGregors Charge 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mr McWhinny

Live signal

Mr McWhinny owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/6 Tom Ellis Jack Andrews
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rule Me In

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Christian Williams
✓ Value Signal

Vengeance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Jimmy Frost
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Mr McWhinny
60.0 4/6
2 4. Rule Me In
57.1 4/1
3 2. My Cullen
52.7 8/1
4 1. The Gypsy Davey
49.0 11/1
5 6. McGregors Charge
46.8 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mr McWhinny
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 8 · 11-7
4/6
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-3
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-10
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 10-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 10-13
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mr McWhinny
Confidence: Medium

Mr McWhinny (SR:95, 8/11) is the clear class standout in this field, rated 6 points above the next-best Rule Me In and 7 above My Cullen. The form string 141411 — six runs with four wins and two near-misses — is the strongest sequence in the race, and crucially the rightmost digit confirms a win last time out just 4 days ago, indicating peak fitness. He holds Course:W1P1 at Newton Abbot and his trainer Tom Ellis (13% strike rate) has the yard in form. At 11-7 he carries a fair weight but is not burdened compared to top-weight The Gypsy Davey on 12-0 who is a 14lb lower-rated horse. The GoingFit:~ is a minor note against, but good ground is far from a dealbreaker for a horse in this form, and no rival combines his SR, course experience, and momentum. Each-way alternative: Rule Me In. Main danger: Rule Me In — Rule Me In (SR:89, 7/2) has shortened 7% in the market, drops a class, carries a favourable 11-3, and Jack Tudor's 14% career strike rate represents the best jockey booking outside the favourite — if Mr McWhinny's quick turnaround (4 days) catches up with him, Rule Me In is positioned to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ran just 4 days ago — a second run in 5 days over fences is an unusual quick turnaround for an 8-year-old and fatigue or soreness could blunt his finishing effort today.
  • HG:t (trained on turf) vs today's going flag being good — his form peak may be tied to softer conditions; the primary analyst concedes GoingFit:~ is a note against.
  • At 8/11 he is a short-priced favourite with MarkMv:= (market unmoved), suggesting bookmakers have not been spooked into shortening further despite the strong form — no strong speculative confidence f…
  • Rule Me In (SR:89, 7/2) has attracted 7% market support (Mkt:in7%) and carries only 11-3, meaning a fresher, well-handicapped rival with a professional jockey (Jack Tudor, 14% SR) is primed to exploi…
Shortlist Mr McWhinny, Rule Me In, My Cullen
Each-way: Rule Me In Danger: Rule Me In

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f216y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade