Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap Stakes

19:15 Wolverhampton (AW) Fri 18 Sep 2026 1m1f104y Class 5 Good 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Melting Snow

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 38%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Melting Snow (SR 76, 11/8) is the standout on raw ability — the highest SR in the field by a clear margin of 7 points over the next best — and carries just 9-3, a meaningful weight advantage over heavier-burdened rivals. The form string 856421 shows a progressive arc culminating in a last-time-out win, confirming peak current form. GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is a key qualifier, and Course:W1P1 at Wolverhampton shows she handles the track. The market has shortened 9% from opening, suggesting quiet professional confidence rather than a steamer, and trainer Ed Dunlop (12% strike rate, 1092 runners) and jockey Billy Loughnane (18%, 3007 runners) is a solid booking. The only concern is DistFit:? — she is unproven over this specific trip — but the progressive profile at 3 years old makes the step up entirely plausible. Each-way alternative: Little Miss India. Main danger: Renesmee — Renesmee (SR 63) has been well backed, shortening 26% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — carries a MarkMv:-2 drop in the handicap, boasts strong Course:W1P5 form at Wolverhampton, and is trained by a yard whose 6% strike rate makes the market move all the more notable.

Verify· #18496

Full result

Winner: Lilly Lux (FR) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Lilly Lux George Baker · Callum Shepherd 7/1
2 Renesmee Fox #3 Michael Keady · Kyle McHugh(7) 9/1
3 Evening Fades William Haggas · Darragh Keenan 9/2
4 Little Miss India Fox #2 James Owen · Luke Morris 7/1
5 Melting Snow Fox #1 Ed Dunlop · Billy Loughnane 13/8
6 Symphony's Song Ian Williams · Silvestre De Sousa 9/2
7 Speculative Tom Dascombe · William Cox 28/1
— Pipily T. J. Kent · Jack Mitchell -

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Melting Snow 11/8 5TH
2 Little Miss India 13/2 🏁 4TH
3 Renesmee 10/1 🥈 2ND