Wolverhampton (AW) 19:15 RESULTED
Class 5 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m1f104y

Official Result

Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lilly Lux (FR) Callum Shepherd · George Baker
    9/2
  2. Second Renesmee (GB)
    9/1
  3. 11/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Ayr

13:20–17:20 · 8 races

Downpatrick

13:37–17:37 · 8 races

Newbury

13:47–17:50 · 9 races

Newton Abbot

14:02–17:30 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:02–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:25–20:30 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Pipily silks
Pipily Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-3
4-7243
64
64OR
3
9-3
SP FCST 3/1
1
Little Miss India silks
Little Miss India
Age 5 · 10-0
141850
70
68
69
5
10-0
7/1 6/1 11/2
Little Miss India showed she retains real ability when winning four starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going keeps her firmly in the mix off 140 lb from stall 8; the main risk is her unplaced effort just seven days ago.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lilly Lux silks
Lilly Lux
Age 5 · 10-0
-26423
70
69
75
5
10-0
7/1 4/1 7/1
Placed third last time out and second two starts back, Lilly Lux has been knocking consistently on the door in recent starts and her experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset from stall one carrying 140 lb; the main concern is 130 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Renesmee silks
Renesmee
Age 6 · 9-12
260658
68
63
77
6
9-12
9/1 11/1 8/1
Winless in her last six starts, Renesmee nonetheless catches the eye as the top-rated runner in this field, and with experience over today's trip and going she has no excuses on conditions; fifth two starts back suggests some residual form, and at 138 lb from stall seven she merits respect.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Melting Snow silks
Melting Snow
Age 3 · 9-3
856421
64
76
65
3
9-3
13/8 6/5 31/19
Ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Melting Snow faces a stiff ask here, though she does arrive in fair nick — a winner last time out and back on track after just 17 days, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Symphony's Song silks
Symphony's Song
Age 4 · 9-2
645336
58
62
63
4
9-2
9/2 17/2 7/2
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Symphony's Song faces a stiff ask, though she has placed twice in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going before, offering at least some familiar conditions.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Speculative silks
Speculative
Age 3 · 9-2
74-895
63
41
68
3
9-2
28/1 14/1 28/1
Winless in her last five starts and held to a fifth last time out, Speculative does at least bring a our rating of 68 to the table — five pounds clear of her official mark — and 45 days off could mean she returns fresh, though her recent consistency is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Evening Fades silks
Evening Fades
Age 3 · 8-13
-64423
60
65
66
3
8-13
9/2 11/4 9/2
Winless in her last five starts, Evening Fades does at least arrive with experience of today's distance and going, and her recent third and second show she can get involved; carrying 125 lb from stall five, her rating of 66 suggests there is ability here, though consistency remains the question.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Pipily 10/3 3/1 10/3 Bet365
1 Little Miss India 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 Bet365
2 Lilly Lux 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 Coral
3 Renesmee 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Melting Snow 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.20 13/8 open 2.20 7/4 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.20 7/4 William Hill
6 Symphony's Song 9/2 open 9.50 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 10.00 4/1 open 10.00 7/2 open 11.00 7/2 open 10.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Speculative 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Paddy Power
8 Evening Fades 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Melting Snow

Speculative

Melting Snow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Ed Dunlop Billy Loughnane
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Evening Fades

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Speculative

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Tom Dascombe
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Melting Snow
52.2 13/8
2 8. Evening Fades
48.0 9/2
3 6. Symphony's Song
47.1 9/2
4 1. Little Miss India
46.7 7/1
5 2. Lilly Lux
46.7 7/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Melting Snow
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-3
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 10-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Melting Snow
Confidence: Speculative

Melting Snow (SR 76, 11/8) is the standout on raw ability — the highest SR in the field by a clear margin of 7 points over the next best — and carries just 9-3, a meaningful weight advantage over heavier-burdened rivals. The form string 856421 shows a progressive arc culminating in a last-time-out win, confirming peak current form. GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is a key qualifier, and Course:W1P1 at Wolverhampton shows she handles the track. The market has shortened 9% from opening, suggesting quiet professional confidence rather than a steamer, and trainer Ed Dunlop (12% strike rate, 1092 runners) and jockey Billy Loughnane (18%, 3007 runners) is a solid booking. The only concern is DistFit:? — she is unproven over this specific trip — but the progressive profile at 3 years old makes the step up entirely plausible. Each-way alternative: Little Miss India. Main danger: Renesmee — Renesmee (SR 63) has been well backed, shortening 26% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — carries a MarkMv:-2 drop in the handicap, boasts strong Course:W1P5 form at Wolverhampton, and is trained by a yard whose 6% strike rate makes the market move all the more notable.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? is a genuine unknown — if Melting Snow fails to stay this trip, her superior SR is irrelevant; a 3yo stepping up in distance for the first time is a real risk, not a minor caveat.
  • Evening Fades (William Haggas, 23% SR trainer) has drifted 51% in the market — significant money has moved OFF that danger, but it also signals punters recalibrating the whole race, and Melting Snow'…
  • MarkMv:+2 suggests a rising handicap mark — she won last time off a lower weight and is now 2lb higher, potentially caught by the assessor just as she steps into unproven trip territory.
  • Little Miss India (Course:W2P4) has a far superior Wolverhampton course record and is freshened from a 7-day turnaround, making her a legitimate threat to outpace a 3yo still learning the AW surface.
Shortlist Melting Snow, Little Miss India, Renesmee
Each-way: Little Miss India Danger: Renesmee

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m1f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade