← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Randox Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Beggars Rock
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Beggars Rock (SR:111, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 13 SR points clear of the next-best Quint Major (SR:98). The form string 3-6011 shows back-to-back wins in the most recent two starts, demonstrating peak current form, and the horse runs off a mark 13lb lower than at last win (MarkMv:-13), giving a real handicap advantage. The market is confident at 9/4 favourite, and the tongue-tie plus bar addition (HG:tb) suggests connections are serious. While GoingFit is only moderate (~) and DistFit is unproven (?), the SR dominance and in-form trainer (11%, 446 runners) with a solid jockey booking (Kevin Sexton 9%, 392) provide the strongest multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Quint Major. Main danger: Quint Major — Quint Major (SR:98, 9/2) has steamed in 38% in the market — the largest positive move aside from Migdam — carries a competitive DistFit:+ at this trip and connections clearly believe it is well-placed off a 46-day freshen-up.
Full result
Winner: Calm Flight Ahead (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Calm Flight Ahead Fox #3 10/3
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2
Dairy Force Fox #4 5/1
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3
Chantilly Wings 7/1
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4
Migdam 14/1
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5
Earl Neigh 25/1
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6
Beggars Rock Fox #1 2/1
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7
Viceregent 66/1
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8
Lilac Lady 11/1
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—
Portnacoo 22/1
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Gone For Tea 22/1
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Quint Major Fox #2 9/2
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Derry Lad 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Beggars Rock 9/4 6TH
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2
Quint Major 9/2
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3
Calm Flight Ahead 4/1 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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4
Dairy Force 6/1 🥈 2ND