← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Georginas Jet
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Georginas Jet (SR:84, 3/1) is the clear class leader in this modest €6,000 handicap, carrying 11-1 and holding a 6-9lb SR advantage over the majority of the field. The Course:W1P2 record at Downpatrick is a significant positive — course specialists on specialist tracks win at a premium rate — and DistFit:~ confirms a workable distance profile at 2m1f165y. Jockey Donagh Meyler brings a respectable 11% career strike rate across 1,023 rides. The GoingFit:- and MarkMv:+7 are genuine concerns, but no rival comes close to matching the SR edge, and the 3/1 market reflects confidence that other backers share despite those negatives. Each-way alternative: Victoria Kesia. Main danger: Victoria Kesia — Victoria Kesia (SR:77, 10/1) has been dramatically supported into the market — Mkt:in37% is the strongest move in the race — carries a light 10-13, holds a Course:W0P1 record at Downpatrick, and the tongue-tie application plus that market move suggests connections know something; if the market is right it could outperform its SR on the day.
Full result
Winner: Invincible Oscar (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Invincible Oscar 15/2
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2
Centaq Fox #4 7/1
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3
Youknowme 16/1
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4
Polly Poppins 10/1
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5
Glory Sky 22/1
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6
Victoria Kesia Fox #2 15/2
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7
Georginas Jet Fox #1 11/4
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Jodoro 9/1
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Xquise 12/1
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Burlington House 13/2
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Hello Johnjoe Fox #3 11/1
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Baltinglass Hill 25/1
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Mad Maxios -
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Willows Word -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Georginas Jet 3/1 7TH
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2
Victoria Kesia 10/1 6TH
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3
Hello Johnjoe 9/1
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4
Centaq 13/2 🥈 2ND