Downpatrick 15:22 RESULTED
18 Sep 2026

Last Friday MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div II) · 2m1f165y

Official Result

MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Invincible Oscar (IRE) Simon Torrens · Noel C. Kelly
    4/1
  2. Second Centaq (IRE)
    11/2
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 2 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Mad Maxios silks
Mad Maxios Non-Runner
Age 5 · 11-13
1/52F-
99
99OR
5
11-13
SP
?
Willows Word silks
Willows Word Non-Runner
Age 4 · 10-12
775
86
86OR
4
10-12
SP
2
Jodoro silks
Jodoro
Age 5 · 11-9
P9-7U5
95
78
106
5
11-9
9/1 11/2 9/1
Winless in his last five starts, Jodoro nonetheless heads the ratings here and has run over today's trip and going, with 28 days between runs leaving him fresh; the 163 lb burden is the one note of caution, but he remains the one to beat on ratings.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Xquise silks
Xquise
Age 6 · 11-7
76/0
93
78
93OR
6
11-7
12/1 6/1 12/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, Xquise is yet to win in her last three starts but has not disgraced herself, and a 45-day freshener may sharpen her up under a hefty 161 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Burlington House silks
Burlington House
Age 5 · 11-4
0542-7
90
75
88
5
11-4
13/2 7/1 5/1
Burlington House shaped with promise when second two starts back but has been winless in recent starts, and 56 days off the track plus a hefty 158 lb burden are obstacles to overcome, though he has run over today's trip and retains some each-way claims.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Georginas Jet silks
Georginas Jet
Age 5 · 11-1
914937
87
84
87
5
11-1
11/4 5/2 9/4
Ran third two starts back to advertise her current form, but a seventh last time out tempers expectations; Georginas Jet has experience over today's trip and going, returns on a 30-day break, and her win five starts back shows ability, though 155 lb is a stern ask.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Hello Johnjoe silks
Hello Johnjoe
Age 5 · 11-0
53P6-7
86
75
95
5
11-0
11/1 17/2 11/1
A lengthy absence of 133 days is the chief concern, but Hello Johnjoe's third-place finish four starts back shows she can hit the frame, and her rating of 95 — ranking her second in this field — marks her out as a serious threat despite being winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Victoria Kesia silks
Victoria Kesia
Age 5 · 10-13
083087
85
77
93
5
10-13
15/2 14/1 13/2
Third in the list is 'unplaced' — her only placed finish is fourth in the list, making her a third four starts back. Back from a 19-day break and carrying 153 lb, Victoria Kesia rates highly on our figures despite being winless in her last six starts, and she has run over today's trip and going; the risk is that recent form has been poor.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Polly Poppins silks
Polly Poppins
Age 6 · 10-12
3-5876
84
75
89
6
10-12
10/1 8/1 10/1
Rated 5 lb clear of her official mark and ranked fourth of twelve in the field, Polly Poppins brings distance-and-going experience to this assignment and returns on a handy 33-day break, though her winless run in recent starts is the obvious question mark.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Centaq silks
Centaq
Age 6 · 10-8
2-6468
80
78
85
6
10-8
7/1 9/2 7/1
SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Baltinglass Hill silks
Baltinglass Hill
Age 9 · 10-7
PP7-08
79
54
83
9
10-7
25/1 14/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, with two pulled-up efforts among them, Baltinglass Hill carries 147 lb off an official mark of 79 and, while he has run over today's trip and going, his recent form gives little encouragement from a midfield ranking.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Invincible Oscar silks
Invincible Oscar
Age 5 · 10-7
0P80-6
79
69
76
5
10-7
15/2 15/2 7/1
Winless in her last five starts, with a pulled up and two unplaced efforts among them, Invincible Oscar is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked ninth of twelve; experience over today's trip and going, plus a 30-day freshener, offer slim crumbs of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Glory Sky silks
Glory Sky
Age 6 · 10-5
0/778-
77
46
73
6
10-5
22/1 FCST 20/1
Winless in her last four starts and absent for 232 days, Glory Sky faces a stiff task on these figures, though she does have experience of today's going; the weight of 145 lb does her no favours either.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

14
Youknowme silks
Youknowme
Age 5 · 10-0
08-77F
72
58
67
5
10-0
16/1 9/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Youknowme faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, but a recent fall and a string of seventh and eighth-place finishes make him hard to fancy at 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Mad Maxios
0 Willows Word
2 Jodoro 9/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 Paddy Power
3 Xquise 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Burlington House 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 13/2 Bet365
5 Georginas Jet 11/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365
6 Hello Johnjoe 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Paddy Power
7 Victoria Kesia 15/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 19.00 7/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 17.00 15/2 Bet365
8 Polly Poppins 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Coral
10 Centaq 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 8/1 Coral
11 Baltinglass Hill 25/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 Paddy Power
12 Invincible Oscar 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
13 Glory Sky 22/1 20/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
14 Youknowme 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Georginas Jet

Speculative

Georginas Jet owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Paul John Gilligan Donagh Meyler
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Centaq

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Dermot A McLoughlin
✓ Value Signal

Baltinglass Hill

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · P J Rothwell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Georginas Jet
52.2 11/4
2 10. Centaq
51.0 7/1
3 7. Victoria Kesia
50.9 15/2
4 6. Hello Johnjoe
50.8 11/1
5 8. Polly Poppins
49.6 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Georginas Jet
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 11-1
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 11-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 10-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 10-13
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 10-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 10-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 11-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 5 · 10-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Georginas Jet
Confidence: Speculative

Georginas Jet (SR:84, 3/1) is the clear class leader in this modest €6,000 handicap, carrying 11-1 and holding a 6-9lb SR advantage over the majority of the field. The Course:W1P2 record at Downpatrick is a significant positive — course specialists on specialist tracks win at a premium rate — and DistFit:~ confirms a workable distance profile at 2m1f165y. Jockey Donagh Meyler brings a respectable 11% career strike rate across 1,023 rides. The GoingFit:- and MarkMv:+7 are genuine concerns, but no rival comes close to matching the SR edge, and the 3/1 market reflects confidence that other backers share despite those negatives. Each-way alternative: Victoria Kesia. Main danger: Victoria Kesia — Victoria Kesia (SR:77, 10/1) has been dramatically supported into the market — Mkt:in37% is the strongest move in the race — carries a light 10-13, holds a Course:W0P1 record at Downpatrick, and the tongue-tie application plus that market move suggests connections know something; if the market is right it could outperform its SR on the day.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- is a concrete flag — Georginas Jet has an unfavourable going profile for today's conditions, meaning the ground itself is working against the horse rather than being neutral.
  • MarkMv:+7 means the handicapper has raised the mark 7lb since last run; carrying 11-1 at a higher rating in a modest €6,000 heat materially reduces the winning margin that existed at the lower mark.
  • Trainer Paul John Gilligan operates at only 5% strike rate from 351 runners — well below the field average — making yard form a legitimate drag on confidence even with a capable jockey.
  • Form string 914937 shows no win in the last six starts and the most recent effort (7) is a poor finishing position, suggesting the horse is not in a form cycle that justifies favouritism at 3/1.
Shortlist Georginas Jet, Victoria Kesia, Hello Johnjoe, Centaq
Each-way: Victoria Kesia Danger: Victoria Kesia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f165y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting