Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle

15:57 Downpatrick Fri 18 Sep 2026 2m5f110y Good 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Lady Lena

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 30%

Mr Fox says

Lady Lena (SR:159) is in a different ability league to every other runner — the next-best is Luker's Tipple at SR:123, a 36-point gulf that is enormous on the 0-200 scale. She carries 11-4, the second-lightest weight in the field, giving her a real lbs advantage over Brother Walfrid and Luker's Tipple who lump 12-0 each. Mullins' 26% strike rate is the strongest yard stat in the race, and while Brian Hayes at 10% is modest, the trainer/jockey combination from this powerful stable carries genuine authority. The 12% market drift is the only concern — likely a reflection of unknown distance/going fitness (DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) at 2m5f on good ground — but a horse of this class simply overwhelms those question marks against opposition rated 35+ points lower. Each-way alternative: Brother Walfrid. Main danger: Brother Walfrid — Elliott's #1 runner with Jack Kennedy aboard, a 7% market steam to 9/2, and a recent 4-1-5-2 form sequence that shows consistent involvement — if Lady Lena's unknown going/distance suitability catches her out over this stamina-testing 2m5f, Brother Walfrid is best placed to capitalise.

Verify· #18401

Full result

Winner: Kashchei (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Kashchei Cian Collins · Carl Millar(5) 11/2
2 Harpy Eagle R P Cody · Josh Williamson(3) 8/1
3 Mr Master Mac Mark Fahey · Thomas O'Connor(7) 5/1
4 Gangster Granny Fox #4 C A McBratney · Sean Flanagan 7/1
5 Luker's Tipple Fox #3 Gavin Cromwell · Keith Donoghue 5/1
6 Brother Walfrid Fox #2 Gordon Elliott · Jack Kennedy 6/1
— Holy Joe Gordon Elliott · Sam Ewing 25/1
— Look Sport Paul Nolan · Conor Stone-Walsh 14/1
— Lady Lena Fox #1 W. P. Mullins · Brian Hayes 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Lady Lena 4/1
2 Brother Walfrid 9/2 6TH
3 Luker's Tipple 4/1 5TH
4 Gangster Granny 8/1 🏁 4TH