Downpatrick 15:57 RESULTED
18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle

Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m5f110y

Official Result

Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kashchei (GB) Carl Millar · Cian Collins
    7/1
  2. 9/2
  3. 100/30F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Brother Walfrid silks
Brother Walfrid
Age 5 · 12-0
2-4152
120
120
120OR
5
12-0
6/1 9/2 11/2
SR 120 backed by market confidence at 9/2 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 120 backed by market confidence at 9/2 — a genuine contender.

2
Luker's Tipple silks
Luker's Tipple
Age 5 · 12-0
-34111
120
123
120OR
5
12-0
5/1 9/4 5/1
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mr Master Mac silks
Mr Master Mac
Age 5 · 12-0
3-1722
120
119
120OR
5
12-0
5/1 9/2 5/1
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Holy Joe silks
Holy Joe
Age 6 · 11-8
6-U115
114
91
114OR
6
11-8
25/1 16/1 25/1
SR 91 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Look Sport silks
Look Sport
Age 5 · 11-8
14
114
100
114OR
5
11-8
14/1 12/1 14/1
SR 100 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Gangster Granny silks
Gangster Granny
Age 5 · 11-7
-15211
113
116
113OR
5
11-7
7/1 13/2 11/2
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Kashchei silks
Kashchei
Age 6 · 11-6
53-1P2
112
112
112OR
6
11-6
11/2 11/1 9/2
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Lady Lena silks
Lady Lena
Age 6 · 11-4
32-1
159
6
11-4
4/1 11/4 4/1
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Harpy Eagle silks
Harpy Eagle
Age 5 · 11-1
0-6612
107
115
107OR
5
11-1
8/1 6/1 7/1
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Brother Walfrid 6/1 11/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 Coral
2 Luker's Tipple 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 3.25 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 Coral
3 Mr Master Mac 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 William Hill
4 Holy Joe 25/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Paddy Power
5 Look Sport 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
6 Gangster Granny 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 13/2 6/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
7 Kashchei 11/2 open 12.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 9/2 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 11/2 Bet365
8 Lady Lena 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
9 Harpy Eagle 8/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lady Lena

Live signal

Lady Lena owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 W. P. Mullins Brian Hayes
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Luker's Tipple

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Gavin Cromwell
✓ Value Signal

Holy Joe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gordon Elliott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Lady Lena
70.1 4/1
2 2. Luker's Tipple
65.1 5/1
3 3. Mr Master Mac
60.3 5/1
4 6. Gangster Granny
60.0 7/1
5 7. Kashchei
60.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lady Lena
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 6 · 11-4
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 159 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 5 · 12-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 123 🐾

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 12-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 11-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾

SR 120 backed by market confidence at 9/2 — a genuine contender.

6
Age 5 · 11-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 11-1
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 11-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Lena
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Lena (SR:159) is in a different ability league to every other runner — the next-best is Luker's Tipple at SR:123, a 36-point gulf that is enormous on the 0-200 scale. She carries 11-4, the second-lightest weight in the field, giving her a real lbs advantage over Brother Walfrid and Luker's Tipple who lump 12-0 each. Mullins' 26% strike rate is the strongest yard stat in the race, and while Brian Hayes at 10% is modest, the trainer/jockey combination from this powerful stable carries genuine authority. The 12% market drift is the only concern — likely a reflection of unknown distance/going fitness (DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) at 2m5f on good ground — but a horse of this class simply overwhelms those question marks against opposition rated 35+ points lower. Each-way alternative: Brother Walfrid. Main danger: Brother Walfrid — Elliott's #1 runner with Jack Kennedy aboard, a 7% market steam to 9/2, and a recent 4-1-5-2 form sequence that shows consistent involvement — if Lady Lena's unknown going/distance suitability catches her out over this stamina-testing 2m5f, Brother Walfrid is best placed to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lady Lena's DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown — she has no proven form at 2m5f on good ground at Downpatrick, a uniquely tight, undulating track that can expose unfamiliar horses.
  • A 12% market drift at 4/1 in a field where she is a 36-point class standout is a significant red flag — money should be pouring in on a horse this superior; smart money appears to be against her.
  • Form reads just 3 runs ('32-1') with no course form marker, while rivals Gangster Granny (W1P3) and Mr Master Mac (W1P1) have Downpatrick-specific track experience that may offset the class gap on th…
  • Brian Hayes's 10% strike rate is well below the yard's 26% headline figure, suggesting this is not a Mullins runner with the stable's A-team deployment — Hayes is rarely the jockey chosen when Mullin…
Shortlist Lady Lena, Brother Walfrid, Luker's Tipple, Gangster Granny
Each-way: Brother Walfrid Danger: Brother Walfrid

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m5f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting