← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Dunleath Flat Race

17:37 Downpatrick Fri 18 Sep 2026 2m1f165y Good 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Ifuknowuknow silks

Ifuknowuknow

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 7/2 Est. 26%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Ifuknowuknow (SR:85, 4/1) combines the second-highest SR in the field with the most compelling market move — a significant 18% inward drift to a price that implies genuine confidence from connections. In a race where every runner shows DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, form credentials are limited across the board, making SR and market signals the primary differentiators. Trainer S G Carey (13% strike rate) runs a relatively lean yard and wouldn't be shortening meaningfully without purpose. The 4/1 price sits comfortably below the SR leader (Orderly Conduct at SR:91) who has drifted 24% — the market is actively choosing Ifuknowuknow over the top-rated runner, which is a meaningful signal in an amateur flat race where connections have inside knowledge of the horse's readiness. Each-way alternative: Guitar Star. Main danger: Myluckymaker — Myluckymaker (SR:87, 10/3) carries the joint-lightest competitive weight at 11-7, has back-to-back placed efforts (22 in recent form), and John McConnell's yard has strong volume experience — despite the 17% drift, the consistent placing record at this SR level makes it a genuine threat to deny the winner.

Verify· #18465

Full result

Winner: Ifuknowuknow (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Ifuknowuknow silks Ifuknowuknow Fox #1 S G Carey · Miss A B O'Connor 4/1
  2. 2 Myluckymaker silks Myluckymaker Fox #2 John McConnell · Mr Finn Buckley(7) 7/2
  3. 3 Orderly Conduct silks Orderly Conduct Gavin Cromwell · Mr D G Lavery 9/2
  4. 4 Loves A Laugh silks Loves A Laugh Stuart Crawford · Miss H Ross(7) 16/1
  5. 5 S T Hamo silks S T Hamo A. McCann · Mr P W Mullins 8/1
  6. 6 Old Court silks Old Court T J O'Mara · Mr A P Ryan(5) 25/1
  7. 7 Eleen Alana silks Eleen Alana Eoin Griffin · Ms N M Bradley(7) 22/1
  8. 8 Thranduil silks Thranduil Paul Nolan · Mr B T Stone(7) 16/1
  9. 9 Hadahi silks Hadahi Fox #3 Noel C. Kelly · Mr D McGill(7) 11/2
  10. 10 Poet's Creek silks Poet's Creek D M Christie · Mr R M McParland(7) 100/1
  11. 11 Bresil Belle silks Bresil Belle Noel C. Kelly · Mr L P Shanahan(7) 66/1
  12. — Ask The Lord silks Ask The Lord Michael Mulvany · Mr H C Swan 14/1
  13. — Guitar Star silks Guitar Star Fox #4 R P Cody · Miss E Cody(7) 9/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Ifuknowuknow silks Ifuknowuknow 4/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Myluckymaker silks Myluckymaker 10/3 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Hadahi silks Hadahi 11/2 9TH
  4. 4 Guitar Star silks Guitar Star 8/1