Downpatrick 17:37 RESULTED
18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Dunleath Flat Race

Dunleath Flat Race · 2m1f165y

Official Result

Dunleath Flat Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ifuknowuknow (IRE) Miss A B O'Connor · S G Carey
    7/2
  2. 11/4J
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ask The Lord silks
Ask The Lord
Age 5 · 12-0
70
5
12-0
14/1 10/1 14/1
Unexposed on debut, Ask The Lord carries 168 lb into the unknown but, with no form to weigh up, he remains entirely open to improvement and could be anything.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Ifuknowuknow silks
Ifuknowuknow
Age 5 · 12-0
67-
85
5
12-0
4/1 9/2 7/2
Unexposed and open to improvement, Ifuknowuknow is yet to win in his last two starts, but returns after a lengthy 266-day break carrying 168 lb, and lightly raced connections will be hoping there is better to come.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Old Court silks
Old Court
Age 5 · 12-0
P-5
52
80
5
12-0
25/1 33/1 20/1
Winless in his last two starts, including a pull-up, Old Court arrives here rated fifth of thirteen on our figures and lugging 168 lb, making him very hard to fancy; experience of today's going is about all he has genuinely in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
S T Hamo silks
S T Hamo
Age 5 · 12-0
0-643
88
97
5
12-0
8/1 13/2 15/2
Winless in his last four starts, S T Hamo nonetheless brings strong claims here — rated top of the 13 runners, he has distance and going experience, and a return to form last time out with a third suggests he is finding his stride again; the weight of 168 lb is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Thranduil silks
Thranduil
Age 5 · 12-0
68
5
12-0
16/1 10/1 16/1
Unexposed on debut, Thranduil arrives with a clean slate and every chance to show his hand here, carrying 168 lb as he looks to open his account at the first time of asking.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Guitar Star silks
Guitar Star
Age 4 · 11-12
82
4
11-12
9/1 10/1 17/2
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Guitar Star heads to the track for the first time carrying 166 lb, with everything still to learn but his best entirely unknown.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hadahi silks
Hadahi
Age 4 · 11-12
5U5-32
86
4
11-12
11/2 4/1 11/2
Unexposed and yet to win in recent starts, Hadahi has shown consistent ability nonetheless, finishing second last time out and third two starts back; carrying 166 lb on his return after 30 days, he remains open to improvement.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Orderly Conduct silks
Orderly Conduct
Age 4 · 11-12
63
91
97
4
11-12
9/2 7/2 4/1
Orderly Conduct shaped with promise when third last time out, has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 30 days in reasonable shape — though connections will hope for more with a cold yard and 166 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Bresil Belle silks
Bresil Belle
Age 5 · 11-7
0
61
5
11-7
66/1 50/1 66/1
Unexposed and likely with more to offer, Bresil Belle was unplaced on her sole recent start 21 days ago and remains yet to win, though lightly raced and open to better under her 161 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Eleen Alana silks
Eleen Alana
Age 5 · 11-7
30
67
91
5
11-7
22/1 33/1 18/1
Eleen Alana shaped with promise when third two starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 90 makes her a leading threat in this field; the main concern is that 48-day absence and a hefty 161 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Myluckymaker silks
Myluckymaker
Age 5 · 11-7
862-22
87
83
5
11-7
7/2 2/1 7/2
Myluckymaker has been knocking hard on the door, finishing second in three consecutive starts, and with today's trip and going already familiar to her, she arrives in fine nick just 15 days after her latest effort; the concern is she has yet to score, and at 161 lb the weight could prove the final barrier.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Poet's Creek silks
Poet's Creek
Age 5 · 11-7
9
62
5
11-7
100/1 66/1 100/1
Lightly raced and open to improvement, Poet's Creek was ninth last time out twenty-one days ago and arrives yet to win in recent starts, but her unexposed profile leaves room for better under her 161 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Loves A Laugh silks
Loves A Laugh
Age 4 · 11-5
33
58
69
4
11-5
16/1 8/1 16/1
Winless in her last two starts and ranked sixth of thirteen on our figures, Loves A Laugh faces a stiff task under 159 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and consecutive thirds suggest she at least competes honestly.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ask The Lord 14/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 18/1 Paddy Power
2 Ifuknowuknow 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Old Court 25/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
4 S T Hamo 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 8/1 Bet365
5 Thranduil 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Paddy Power
6 Guitar Star 9/1 open 34.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Hadahi 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 Paddy Power
8 Orderly Conduct 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 4/1 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 Betfred
9 Bresil Belle 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 Paddy Power
10 Eleen Alana 22/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 67.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Myluckymaker 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 Bet365
12 Poet's Creek 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
13 Loves A Laugh 16/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Orderly Conduct

Speculative

Orderly Conduct owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Gavin Cromwell Mr D G Lavery
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ifuknowuknow

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · S G Carey
✓ Value Signal

Poet's Creek

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · D M Christie
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Orderly Conduct
58.2 9/2
2 2. Ifuknowuknow
55.0 4/1
3 11. Myluckymaker
53.8 7/2
4 6. Guitar Star
53.1 9/1
5 7. Hadahi
53.1 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ifuknowuknow
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 5 · 11-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 12-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 11-12
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 11-12
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 12-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 11-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Age 5 · 12-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 11-5
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ifuknowuknow
Confidence: Speculative

Ifuknowuknow (SR:85, 4/1) combines the second-highest SR in the field with the most compelling market move — a significant 18% inward drift to a price that implies genuine confidence from connections. In a race where every runner shows DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, form credentials are limited across the board, making SR and market signals the primary differentiators. Trainer S G Carey (13% strike rate) runs a relatively lean yard and wouldn't be shortening meaningfully without purpose. The 4/1 price sits comfortably below the SR leader (Orderly Conduct at SR:91) who has drifted 24% — the market is actively choosing Ifuknowuknow over the top-rated runner, which is a meaningful signal in an amateur flat race where connections have inside knowledge of the horse's readiness. Each-way alternative: Guitar Star. Main danger: Myluckymaker — Myluckymaker (SR:87, 10/3) carries the joint-lightest competitive weight at 11-7, has back-to-back placed efforts (22 in recent form), and John McConnell's yard has strong volume experience — despite the 17% drift, the consistent placing record at this SR level makes it a genuine threat to deny the winner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ifuknowuknow's form reads '67-' — a bare two runs finishing 6th and 7th with a lengthy absence since, suggesting no recent evidence of progression and a horse that has yet to threaten in its career t…
  • Jockey Miss A B O'Connor strikes at only 11% overall and 170 rides, modest for an amateur contest where rival Mr P W Mullins (33% strike rate, 459 rides) aboard S T Hamo (SR:88) represents a sharply…
  • S G Carey's yard runs at 13% from just 95 runners — a small, lean operation — making the 18% drift-in feel more likely noise from limited market liquidity than a genuine informed move in a low-profil…
  • Myluckymaker (SR:87, 10/3 market leader) has a recent 5-run form string showing consecutive placed efforts (862-22), is fresher (15 days since last run) and is shorter in the market — a more demonstr…
Shortlist Ifuknowuknow, Myluckymaker, Hadahi, Guitar Star
Each-way: Guitar Star Danger: Myluckymaker

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f165y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting