← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race
Mr Fox’s call
Force Noir
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 6/4F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Force Noir (SR 102, 2/1) is the class leader in this six-runner juvenile sprint and carries the most compelling multi-signal case. The market has moved aggressively in — 26% inward drift to 2/1 — indicating strong informed support, and Ben Coen (11% SR, 1,791 career rides) is a significant jockey booking upgrade. Proven at today's 5f trip (DistFit:+) and representing the De Aguiar yard's #1 runner with Donagh O'Connor taking the stablemate Supreme Lord, who has drifted 63% out and is stepping up 10lb in the market — a clear yard pecking-order signal. The Form:210 shows a win and a second recently before a last-run defeat, which at 90 days ago likely represents a planned break ahead of this comeback. Each-way alternative: Hanney Boy. Main danger: Walk On Harry — Walk On Harry (SR 85) won last time out (Form:831, rightmost = 1) for the powerful Henry de Bromhead yard (16% strike rate) and is proven at 5f (DistFit:+), giving him live each-way claims despite a 34% market drift that may reflect the tongue-tie first-time headgear adjustment rather than a genuine negative.
Full result
Winner: Force Noir (IRE) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Force Noir Fox #1 9/4
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2
Hanney Boy Fox #2 9/2
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3
Monologue 5/1
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4
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5
Walk On Harry Fox #3 7/2
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Cyclone Code 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3