Dundalk (AW) 17:25 RESULTED
18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Force Noir (IRE) Ben Coen · Robson De Aguiar
    6/4F
  2. 9/2
  3. 17/2
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Dundalk (AW)

17:25–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Force Noir silks
Force Noir
Age 2 · 9-10
210
86
102
98
2
9-10
9/4 11/4 2/1
Force Noir won two starts back and was second three starts back, showing consistent form at this level, and has run over today's trip; drawn in stall one carrying 136 lb on a 90-day break is the only query, but his rating marks him as the one to beat.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Hanney Boy silks
Hanney Boy
Age 2 · 9-10
223317
94
100
89
2
9-10
9/2 FCST 4/1
Hanney Boy landed a win two starts back and has experience over today's trip, while his 136 lb burden is the chief concern after a disappointing seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Supreme Lord silks
Supreme Lord
Age 2 · 9-10
35517
89
88
83
2
9-10
4/1 32/17 4/1
Supreme Lord won two starts back and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround having already run over today's trip, giving him solid claims as a leading danger here; the main risk is that seventh last time out leaves a question mark over current consistency.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Walk On Harry silks
Walk On Harry
Age 2 · 9-10
831
92
85
72
2
9-10
7/2 11/4 3/1
Walk On Harry won last time out but that victory sits against a backdrop of an eighth three starts back, and our rating of 72 leaves him well below the field on figures; distance experience offers some hope, but he's hard to fancy from this position.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Cyclone Code silks
Cyclone Code
Age 2 · 9-5
6634
80
75
77
2
9-5
12/1 14/1 10/1
Cyclone Code ran third two starts back and shapes as a solid threat off a low draw in stall three, with experience over today's trip and 131 lb a manageable burden; the main concern is that he has been winless in recent starts, including a fourth last time out just a day ago.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Monologue silks
Monologue
Age 2 · 9-5
4
53
54
2
9-5
5/1 9/2 5/1
Winless in recent starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Monologue faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip before and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround, but a fourth last time out and a speed rating of 33 make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Force Noir 9/4 open 5.00 2/1 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
2 Hanney Boy 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 Bet365
3 Supreme Lord 4/1 open 3.00 5/1 open 2.88 9/2 open 2.88 9/2 open 2.88 9/2 open 2.88 9/2 open 2.88 5/1 Paddy Power
4 Walk On Harry 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 7/2 Bet365
5 Cyclone Code 12/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Monologue 5/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 9/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Force Noir

Speculative

Force Noir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Robson De Aguiar Ben Coen
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hanney Boy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Miss Evanna McCutcheon
✓ Value Signal

Cyclone Code

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Simon Cavanagh
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Force Noir
56.4 9/4
2 2. Hanney Boy
54.4 9/2
3 3. Supreme Lord
52.4 4/1
4 4. Walk On Harry
50.5 7/2
5 5. Cyclone Code
47.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Force Noir
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-10
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 102 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Force Noir
Confidence: Speculative

Force Noir (SR 102, 2/1) is the class leader in this six-runner juvenile sprint and carries the most compelling multi-signal case. The market has moved aggressively in — 26% inward drift to 2/1 — indicating strong informed support, and Ben Coen (11% SR, 1,791 career rides) is a significant jockey booking upgrade. Proven at today's 5f trip (DistFit:+) and representing the De Aguiar yard's #1 runner with Donagh O'Connor taking the stablemate Supreme Lord, who has drifted 63% out and is stepping up 10lb in the market — a clear yard pecking-order signal. The Form:210 shows a win and a second recently before a last-run defeat, which at 90 days ago likely represents a planned break ahead of this comeback. Each-way alternative: Hanney Boy. Main danger: Walk On Harry — Walk On Harry (SR 85) won last time out (Form:831, rightmost = 1) for the powerful Henry de Bromhead yard (16% strike rate) and is proven at 5f (DistFit:+), giving him live each-way claims despite a 34% market drift that may reflect the tongue-tie first-time headgear adjustment rather than a genuine negative.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 90-day layoff for a 2yo juvenile sprinter is a significant fitness question — returning from a planned break at Dundalk AW with no recorded prep run risks lack of race sharpness at a sharp 5f trip.
  • Form:210 shows the most recent run was a defeat (0), meaning Force Noir heads into this off the back of a loss, not a confidence-boosting performance.
  • Hanney Boy (SR:100, 4/1) has run 6 times recently, is race-fit with only 27 days since last run, and has also drifted in 11% — offering a well-exposed, fit alternative at a bigger price.
  • Ben Coen's 11% strike rate, while cited as an upgrade, is below-average for a supposed market-mover booking — the yard's 12% SR is also modest, limiting confidence that insider support reflects a cer…
Shortlist Force Noir, Hanney Boy, Walk On Harry
Each-way: Hanney Boy Danger: Walk On Harry

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting