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19:30 Dundalk (AW) Fri 18 Sep 2026 1m4f0y Good 11 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Daonethatgotaway silks

Daonethatgotaway

SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 22%

10TH

Mr Fox says

Daonethatgotaway (SR:69, 15/2) is the most compelling play when signals are aggregated across the board. The 18% market steam is the single most eye-catching move in the race — money is piling in from 15/2 down, and that kind of move in an apprentice handicap at Dundalk typically reflects stable confidence. Course form is exceptional: W3P13 at this track is a Dundalk specialist profile rarely seen in a field of 11, and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's surface. At 9-7 she is on a workable weight, and while the SR of 69 sits below the top of the field, in a moderate AW handicap the course specialisation and market move outweigh a raw ability gap. The MarkMv:+3 is not punishing, and Mark Fahey's 13% strike rate with Reese Holohan (11%) is a solid booking for the grade. Each-way alternative: Kilcrea Rock. Main danger: Kilcrea Rock — Kilcrea Rock (SR:83, the highest ability runner in the field from JP O'Brien's powerful yard) carries the best raw SR and Course:W1P1, and even with an 18% drift and 57 days off, a horse of this class dropping into a €9,000 apprentice handicap can dominate on ability alone if fit.

Full result

Winner: Kilcrea Rock (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Kilcrea Rock silks Kilcrea Rock Fox #2 Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Shay Wallace(7) 5/1
  2. 2 Merlin The Wizard silks Merlin The Wizard R P Cody · Julian Pietropaolo(2) 11/2
  3. 3 Direct Approach silks Direct Approach Gordon Elliott · Conor Cusack(7) 25/1
  4. 4 Diamond Exchange silks Diamond Exchange Mrs J. Harrington · Darragh O'Sullivan(4) 6/1
  5. 5 Wandering Rocks silks Wandering Rocks William Durkan · Jamie Orr(7) 40/1
  6. 6 Trishuli River silks Trishuli River Shane Crawley · Jack Cleary 14/1
  7. 7 Nakasero silks Nakasero Fox #4 Henry de Bromhead · Adam Grant(7) 9/2
  8. 8 Celtic Druid silks Celtic Druid T G McCourt · Sadhbh Tormey(7) 7/1
  9. 9 Pavilion End silks Pavilion End Fox #3 Charles O'Brien · Sam Coen 7/2
  10. 10 Daonethatgotaway silks Daonethatgotaway Fox #1 Mark Fahey · Reese Holohan(2) 9/1
  11. Cozone silks Cozone Matthew J Smith · Jimmy Dalton(7) 33/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Daonethatgotaway silks Daonethatgotaway 15/2 10TH
  2. 2 Kilcrea Rock silks Kilcrea Rock 5/1 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Pavilion End silks Pavilion End 4/1 9TH
  4. 4 Nakasero silks Nakasero 9/2 7TH