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Dubai Duty Free Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

14:47 Newbury Sat 19 Sep 2026 1m2f0y Class 2 Good 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Capall Rasa silks

Capall Rasa

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 26%

9TH

Mr Fox says

Capall Rasa (SR:99, 11/2, 8-11) has steamed in 32% since opening — the most significant market move in the race by a considerable margin — and carries a featherweight relative to the field. The GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles today's good ground, and Connor Beasley (14% SR) is a reliable partner for Bethell's yard (18% strike rate, 1076 runners). The 93-day absence is a risk, but Bethell typically has horses fit enough to run when they're sent to a Newbury Class 2 handicap, and a mark +13 above last win is offset by the lightened weight (8-11) and the fact that three-year-olds at this stage of the season carry a proven physical maturity advantage over older rivals in mile-and-a-quarter handicaps. The sustained market confidence is the decisive signal. Each-way alternative: Almekarem. Main danger: Almekarem — Almekarem (SR:96, 9/2, 8-8) carries the lightest weight in the field, has won four of his last five including a win just 8 days ago showing peak form, and Prescott's yard (19% strike rate) is among the best at placing horses precisely — ClassMv:↑2 is the only genuine concern.

Verify· #18616

Full result

Winner: Balzac (GER) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Balzac silks Balzac Jane Chapple-Hyam · Ryan Moore 6/1
  2. 2 Paddy The Squire silks Paddy The Squire Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 14/1
  3. 3 Merveilleux Lapin silks Merveilleux Lapin Owen Burrows · Callum Rodriguez 18/1
  4. 4 Boyfriend silks Boyfriend Fox #3 Richard Hannon · Sean Levey 9/2
  5. 5 Stem silks Stem Fox #4 Richard Hannon · Jamie Spencer 15/2
  6. 6 Old Harrovian silks Old Harrovian Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson 40/1
  7. 7 King's Code silks King's Code David Evans · Rob Hornby 40/1
  8. 8 Mr Swivell silks Mr Swivell Kevin Philippart de Foy · William Buick 17/2
  9. 9 Capall Rasa silks Capall Rasa Fox #1 Edward Bethell · Connor Beasley 11/2
  10. 10 Almekarem silks Almekarem Fox #2 Sir Mark Prescott Bt · Luke Morris 9/2
  11. 11 Theory of Tides silks Theory of Tides Jamie Osborne · William Carver 25/1
  12. — Gonna Fly silks Gonna Fly Ralph Beckett · Rossa Ryan 13/2
  13. — Fantasy Believer silks Fantasy Believer Ed Walker · Kieran Shoemark 50/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Capall Rasa silks Capall Rasa 11/2 9TH
  2. 2 Almekarem silks Almekarem 9/2 10TH
  3. 3 Boyfriend silks Boyfriend 4/1 🏁 4TH
  4. 4 Stem silks Stem 7/1 5TH