← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Conundrum Consulting Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Anyasi
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Anyasi (SR 95, 15/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-6 and has the highest SR among the genuine contenders, sitting a clear notch above Startled (SR 94) and Aalto (SR 101 but DistFit:-). The form string 3-115 reads as a rapidly progressive 3yo who has won twice in recent starts, and the market has shortened 14% confirming professional support. Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 1394 runners) is one of the shrewdest yards for targeting a race like this, and the DistFit:+ confirms the 7f trip is within the proven range. The GoingFit:? is the only uncertainty — insufficient sample on good ground — but at 15/2 this is a fair price for the most complete package in the field. Each-way alternative: Startled. Main danger: Startled — Startled (SR 94, 13/2) has steamed in 35% in the market, carries only 9-2, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ both confirmed, and the ClassMv:↓1 drop means today's race is easier than the last outing — the 49-day absence and the +8 mark rise are the only negatives against what is otherwise a strongly aligned profile.
Full result
Winner: Garfield Shadow (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Garfield Shadow Fox #4 5/1
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2
Aalto Fox #3 4/1
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3
Jonny Concrete 17/2
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4
Startled Fox #2 8/1
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5
Marcellinus 10/1
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6
Mr Writer 17/2
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7
The Fingal Raven 12/1
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8
Sterling Knight 22/1
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9
Morte Point 28/1
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10
Assaranca 12/1
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11
Yes I'm Mali 12/1
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12
Havana Pusey 22/1
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13
Desert Cop 50/1
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14
Witch Hunter 16/1
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15
Betty Clover 22/1
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16
Silver Ghost 33/1
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—
American Gulf 28/1
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Anyasi Fox #1 -
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—
Shaman Champion 16/1
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—
Castle Rock -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Anyasi 15/2
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2
Startled 13/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Aalto 4/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Garfield Shadow 9/1 SP 100/30 🏆 WON