Newbury 15:55 RESULTED
Class 3 19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday Conundrum Consulting Handicap Stakes

Conundrum Consulting Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Conundrum Consulting Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Garfield Shadow (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Hamad Al Jehani
    100/30
  2. Second Aalto (FR)
    3/1F
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Castle Rock silks
Castle Rock Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-7
411-2
91
91OR
3
9-7
SP FCST 9/4
1
Garfield Shadow silks
Garfield Shadow
Age 5 · 10-0
21/204
95
92
100
5
10-0
5/1 11/1 4/1
SR 92 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Havana Pusey silks
Havana Pusey
Age 6 · 9-13
377929
94
70
95
6
9-13
22/1 25/1 18/1
Havana Pusey is winless in her last six starts, though a second two runs back shows she retains ability; a ninth last time out is harder to forgive, and 139 lb from stall 18 adds to her task, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
The Fingal Raven silks
The Fingal Raven
Age 4 · 9-12
509392
93
84
96
4
9-12
12/1 8/1 11/1
Placed twice in his last four starts, including a second last time out, The Fingal Raven arrives here on a sharp 14-day turnaround with distance and going experience to call upon; the chief concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Witch Hunter silks
Witch Hunter
Age 7 · 9-11
001060
92
81
97
7
9-11
16/1 22/1 12/1
Witch Hunter has run on this distance and going combination and retains clear claims at a rating of 97, making him a leading danger here off 137 lb; the risk is that his recent record shows only one win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Aalto silks
Aalto
Age 6 · 9-9
902133
90
101
92
6
9-9
4/1 FCST 7/2
Third last time out and placed in consecutive recent starts, Aalto arrives here on a sharp 15-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour; he carries 135 lb from stall one, though his rating of 92 places him mid-pack in a deep field of 19.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Silver Ghost silks
Silver Ghost
Age 4 · 9-8
-32005
89
67
94
4
9-8
33/1
Winless in her last five starts, Silver Ghost showed ability with a third and a second in recent outings but has gone off the boil since, and 134 lb from stall 15 gives her plenty to overcome, even if today's trip and conditions are familiar.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Betty Clover silks
Betty Clover
Age 4 · 9-8
554066
89
67
101
4
9-8
22/1 22/1 20/1
Betty Clover is winless in her last six starts, yet her rating of 101 — highest in the field — and experience over today's trip and going mark her as a genuine threat from stall 19 on a quick 16-day turnaround; the main concern is a trainer operating at just 3% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
American Gulf silks
American Gulf
Age 3 · 9-8
10922-
92
70
95
3
9-8
28/1 20/1 25/1
Consecutive runner-up finishes last time out and two starts back give American Gulf a solid recent profile, though a 352-day absence is a significant query and he steps back up having finished ninth three starts back, with 134 lb from stall 16 adding further test.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Morte Point silks
Morte Point
Age 4 · 9-7
916008
88
62
90
4
9-7
28/1 33/1 25/1
Morte Point won one from six in recent starts and his current form figures make grim reading, with four successive below-par efforts since that victory; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 133 lb from stall 14, and his speed rating of 82 leaves him with ground to find on the ranked figures.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

10
Sterling Knight silks
Sterling Knight
Age 7 · 9-7
100376
88
65
95
7
9-7
22/1 25/1 20/1
Sterling Knight showed a glimpse of ability with a win six starts back and a third three starts back, but his last two outings have brought only sixth and seventh, giving his recent form a downward look; has run over today's distance and going, and 36 days off may have freshened him.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Desert Cop silks
Desert Cop
Age 6 · 9-7
571400
88
63
89
6
9-7
50/1 33/1 40/1
Desert Cop won four starts back but has managed only a fourth and two unplaced efforts since, and ranked 14th of 19 on our figures he faces a stiff task; 40 days off at least means he arrives fresh, and he has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Anyasi silks
Anyasi
Age 3 · 9-6
3-115
90
95
87
3
9-6
SP 8/1 15/2
Ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Anyasi faces a stiff ask under 132 lb, and a fifth last time out does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's trip and going before and boasts two wins in his last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Jonny Concrete silks
Jonny Concrete
Age 5 · 9-6
244115
87
92
88
5
9-6
17/2 11/1 17/2
Ranked 17 of 19 on our figures and carrying 132 lb, Jonny Concrete is difficult to fancy despite two wins in his last six starts, with a fifth last time out doing little to inspire confidence; a struggling trainer at 4% over the past fortnight compounds the concern, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Marcellinus silks
Marcellinus
Age 3 · 9-4
-12241
88
92
92
3
9-4
10/1 7/1 10/1
Marcellinus won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims, though 43 days off the track introduces a fitness query and carrying 130 lb from stall six tests his resolve against stronger company.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Yes I'm Mali silks
Yes I'm Mali
Age 4 · 9-4
227521
85
84
90
4
9-4
12/1 9/1 11/1
Won last time out and arrives here in decent nick after just 18 days, but he carries 130 lb from stall 17 and faces a deep field as the 12th-ranked of 19 on our assessment; has run over today's trip and going, though the weight could blunt his recent momentum.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Mr Writer silks
Mr Writer
Age 3 · 9-3
215161
87
91
88
3
9-3
17/2 7/1 17/2
Ranked well down the field on our figures and drawn in stall 11, Mr Writer faces a stiff ask at these weights, carrying 129 lb; in his favour, he has winning form in his last six starts and has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

18
Startled silks
Startled
Age 3 · 9-2
311278
86
94
88
3
9-2
8/1 6/1 7/1
Ranked a lowly 16th of 19 on our figures, Startled's back-to-back wins in his last six starts offer some hope, but consecutive eighth and seventh-placed finishes since make him hard to fancy, even with distance and going experience to call on.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

19
Assaranca silks
Assaranca
Age 3 · 9-1
315791
85
81
86
3
9-1
12/1 8/1 12/1
Ranked last of 19 on our figures, Assaranca faces a stiff task, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and going, making her profile not entirely without merit.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Shaman Champion silks
Shaman Champion
Age 3 · 8-13
-70035
83
72
94
3
8-13
16/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Shaman Champion nonetheless showed a hint of form when third two runs back, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 125 lb from stall 20, the gap between his official mark of 83 and a rating of 94 may offer some encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Castle Rock 7/2 9/4 7/2 7/2 10/3 7/2 Bet365
1 Garfield Shadow 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 15.00 9/2 open 15.00 4/1 open 15.00 4/1 open 12.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Havana Pusey 22/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
3 The Fingal Raven 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.00 14/1 William Hill
4 Witch Hunter 16/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Aalto 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Coral
6 Silver Ghost 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 William Hill
7 Betty Clover 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 Bet365
8 American Gulf 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Morte Point 28/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
10 Sterling Knight 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 34.00 22/1 Bet365
12 Desert Cop 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
13 Anyasi 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 8/1 Coral
14 Jonny Concrete 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
15 Marcellinus 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
16 Yes I'm Mali 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 William Hill
17 Mr Writer 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Coral
18 Startled 8/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365
19 Assaranca 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Paddy Power
20 Shaman Champion 16/1 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Garfield Shadow

Speculative

Garfield Shadow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Aalto

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ian Williams
✓ Value Signal

Havana Pusey

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · John Gallagher
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Garfield Shadow
54.9 5/1
2 5. Aalto
54.8 4/1
3 18. Startled
54.0 8/1
4 15. Marcellinus
53.5 10/1
5 14. Jonny Concrete
52.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Anyasi
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 3 · 9-2
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 5 · 9-6
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
Age 3 · 9-3
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 3 · 9-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 4 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Age 3 · 9-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Age 3 · 8-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Anyasi
Confidence: Speculative

Anyasi (SR 95, 15/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-6 and has the highest SR among the genuine contenders, sitting a clear notch above Startled (SR 94) and Aalto (SR 101 but DistFit:-). The form string 3-115 reads as a rapidly progressive 3yo who has won twice in recent starts, and the market has shortened 14% confirming professional support. Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 1394 runners) is one of the shrewdest yards for targeting a race like this, and the DistFit:+ confirms the 7f trip is within the proven range. The GoingFit:? is the only uncertainty — insufficient sample on good ground — but at 15/2 this is a fair price for the most complete package in the field. Each-way alternative: Startled. Main danger: Startled — Startled (SR 94, 13/2) has steamed in 35% in the market, carries only 9-2, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ both confirmed, and the ClassMv:↓1 drop means today's race is easier than the last outing — the 49-day absence and the +8 mark rise are the only negatives against what is otherwise a strongly aligned profile.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:? is a genuine red flag in a handicap of this competitiveness — Anyasi has no confirmed form on good ground and Newbury in September can be testing, meaning the surface could be entirely aga…
  • Jockey Ray Dawson (14%, 1204 runners) is a significant downgrade in a field where Ryan Moore (24%) partners Aalto and several rivals have stronger pilot bookings — Varian could have called on better.
  • Form string 3-115 is very short (only 4 runs); the two wins may have come in softer or less competitive maiden/novice company, and stepping into this open handicap field represents an untested class…
  • Startled (13/2, SR 94) is marginally shorter in the market with a 35% market move in vs Anyasi's 14% in — sharper money is pointing elsewhere, undermining the 'professional support' narrative for Any…
Shortlist Anyasi, Startled, Aalto, Garfield Shadow
Each-way: Startled Danger: Startled

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade