← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Abundant
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 2/5F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Abundant (SR:92, 6/4, Wgt:9-9) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable weight — 2lb less than Drymee despite being the SR leader. The Form:-43351 shows a progressive 3-year-old who has tightened up to a win last time out at this same class level (ClassMv:=), and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over today's mile. Sean Levey (13% career SR) is a solid booking, and at 6/4 the market clearly agrees with the ability case. The one concern is the GoingFit:? flag suggesting limited good-ground data, but the moderate drift risk is absent here — no market movement flags suggest the yard is confident. Each-way alternative: Storming Point. Main danger: Storming Point — Storming Point (SR:87, 11/4) drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), is ridden by the high-strike-rate Ryan Moore (24%), and holds a Course:W0P1 record at Newbury — the class relief combined with the best jockey in the race makes it the most credible threat to Abundant.
Full result
Winner: Abundant (IRE) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Abundant Fox #1 11/10
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2
Starlight Time 10/1
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3
Aura Champagne Fox #4 18/1
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Drymee Fox #2 11/4
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Storming Point Fox #3 -
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Astrazar 11/1
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Back To Me 50/1
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Crossbar 9/1
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Aqua Bear 18/1
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Starlight Sami 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Abundant 6/4 SP 2/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Drymee 7/2
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3
Storming Point 11/4
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4
Aura Champagne 20/1 🥉 3RD