Newbury 16:30 RESULTED
Class 4 19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap Stakes

Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Abundant (IRE) Sean Levey · Tom Ward
    2/5F
  2. 9/2
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Drymee silks
Drymee
Age 3 · 9-11
-71131
87
90
86
3
9-11
11/4 2/1 11/4
Drymee arrives on the back of a win 22 days ago and has run over today's trip and going, but his speed rating of 82 gives pause, and carrying 137 lb from stall 3 makes life no easier for a horse ranked sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Abundant silks
Abundant
Age 3 · 9-9
-43351
85
92
89
3
9-9
11/10 3/2 5/6
Abundant arrives on the back of a recent win and has experience of today's distance and going, making him a genuine threat from stall eight carrying 135 lb; the main risk is whether he can reproduce that form after a 24-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Starlight Time silks
Starlight Time
Age 3 · 9-8
-88517
84
66
88
3
9-8
10/1 11/1 8/1
Landed a win two starts back but has since disappointed with a seventh, and while he has run over today's distance and going before, carrying 134 lb from stall two makes further progress hard to predict.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
Storming Point silks
Storming Point
Age 3 · 9-8
-32265
84
87
89
3
9-8
SP 2/1 5/2
Placed three times in his last five starts, Storming Point brings solid recent consistency and a 5 lb pull between his official mark and our rating of 89, making him a genuine threat from stall 7 at a well-judged 29 days since his last run, though the trainer's current 0-from-21 run of form is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Astrazar silks
Astrazar
Age 3 · 9-8
-97420
84
72
91
3
9-8
11/1 10/1 17/2
Astrazar returns after 29 days, has run over today's trip and going, and rates highest in the field on our figures; yet to land a win in his last five starts and with the trainer hitting just 2%, he needs the form to click.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Back To Me silks
Back To Me
Age 3 · 9-6
-16200
82
55
88
3
9-6
50/1 FCST 28/1
Back To Me arrives here on the back of experience over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back gives him a solid form platform; he carries 132 lb, and two consecutive unplaced runs since will need addressing.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

7
Crossbar silks
Crossbar
Age 3 · 9-5
13
81
72
85
3
9-5
9/1 11/1 15/2
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Crossbar brings solid recent form to this, though a 96-day absence is the main query; he has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Aqua Bear silks
Aqua Bear
Age 3 · 9-1
-40300
77
56
85
3
9-1
18/1 18/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Aqua Bear faces a stiff task here; the third came three starts back, but two unplaced efforts since and a 51-day absence make him hard to fancy, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Aura Champagne silks
Aura Champagne
Age 3 · 9-0
3-332
76
63
78
3
9-0
18/1 14/1 11/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Aura Champagne faces a stiff ask here, though she has been placed in all four of those outings and has experience over today's trip and going to call upon.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Starlight Sami silks
Starlight Sami
Age 3 · 8-7
-31079
69
53
79
3
8-7
50/1 28/1 50/1
Beaten in each of his last three starts and ranked bottom two on our figures, Starlight Sami makes it hard to build a case, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a win four starts back shows he can find the line.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Drymee 11/4 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.00 10/3 Paddy Power
2 Abundant 11/10 open 3.50 11/10 open 2.50 5/6 open 2.50 5/6 open 2.50 11/10 open 2.50 11/10 open 2.50 11/10 Bet365
3 Starlight Time 10/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 26.00 17/2 open 23.00 17/2 open 23.00 17/2 open 26.00 17/2 open 23.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Storming Point 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
5 Astrazar 11/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
6 Back To Me 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
7 Crossbar 9/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
8 Aqua Bear 18/1 14/1 open 31.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Aura Champagne 18/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Starlight Sami 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Abundant

Speculative

Abundant owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Tom Ward Sean Levey
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Drymee

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Back To Me

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Patrick Chamings
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Abundant
54.9 11/10
2 1. Drymee
54.1 11/4
3 4. Storming Point
48.7 -
4 3. Starlight Time
47.9 10/1
5 7. Crossbar
45.7 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Abundant
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-9
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-1
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Abundant
Confidence: Speculative

Abundant (SR:92, 6/4, Wgt:9-9) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable weight — 2lb less than Drymee despite being the SR leader. The Form:-43351 shows a progressive 3-year-old who has tightened up to a win last time out at this same class level (ClassMv:=), and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over today's mile. Sean Levey (13% career SR) is a solid booking, and at 6/4 the market clearly agrees with the ability case. The one concern is the GoingFit:? flag suggesting limited good-ground data, but the moderate drift risk is absent here — no market movement flags suggest the yard is confident. Each-way alternative: Storming Point. Main danger: Storming Point — Storming Point (SR:87, 11/4) drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), is ridden by the high-strike-rate Ryan Moore (24%), and holds a Course:W0P1 record at Newbury — the class relief combined with the best jockey in the race makes it the most credible threat to Abundant.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:? is a real flag — Newbury in September can ride Good to Firm or Good to Soft; Abundant has unproven ground suitability and a negative surprise here could be decisive.
  • Tom Ward's 11% trainer strike rate is notably below rivals Fanshawe (18%) and Varian (20%), weakening yard confidence despite no market drift flag.
  • Storming Point (SR:87) has Ryan Moore booked — a 24% jockey SR — and is weighted 1lb lighter; Moore's tactical nous on a speed-friendly Newbury mile is a tangible threat at 11/4.
  • MarkMv:+5 on Abundant is modest compared to Drymee's MarkMv:+10, suggesting the form assessor sees more improvement coming from the market rival rather than Abundant.
Shortlist Abundant, Drymee, Storming Point, Aura Champagne
Each-way: Storming Point Danger: Storming Point

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade