← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Get Up Everybody
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Get Up Everybody (SR 68, 9/4) is the joint top-rated runner alongside Melissa Honey but carries the same weight of 9-9 with a materially stronger recent form line — '475331' shows a clear upward trajectory culminating in a win last time out, whereas Melissa Honey's '312131' alternates between wins and placed efforts on going that is flagged as a poor fit for her (GoingFit:-). Get Up Everybody also holds a course record of W1P2 at Newcastle AW, which is a significant advantage on a track that rewards familiarity. The 9/4 market price is the shortest in the field and reflects genuine confidence from the market, supported by a trainer (Paul Midgley, 11%) and jockey (David Nolan, 12%) combination that is both experienced and consistent. Melissa Honey's drift of 12% in the market and her poor going record on today's good ground are enough to separate the two joint-leaders in Get Up Everybody's favour. Each-way alternative: Heathers Feather. Main danger: Melissa Honey — Melissa Honey (SR 68, 10/3) matches Get Up Everybody on rating and has a very consistent form line of '312131' with a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1), meaning if the going concern proves overstated she has the raw ability to win.
Full result
Winner: Yaahobby (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Yaahobby 16/1
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2
Melissa Honey Fox #2 10/3
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3
Heathers Feather Fox #4 7/1
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4
Get Up Everybody Fox #1 2/1
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5
Glowchester 14/1
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6
Surgeon Commander Fox #3 7/1
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7
Woodhay Whisper 16/1
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8
Runninman 50/1
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9
Maui Breeze 18/1
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—
Beach Partee 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Get Up Everybody 9/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Melissa Honey 10/3 🥈 2ND
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3
Surgeon Commander 15/2 6TH
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4
Heathers Feather 7/1 🥉 3RD