Newcastle (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 6 19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f

Official Result

Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Yaahobby (IRE) Ethan Tindall · Antony Brittain
    14/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Get Up Everybody silks
Get Up Everybody
Age 4 · 9-9
475331
60
68
65
4
9-9
2/1 2/1 7/4
Get Up Everybody arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's distance and going, giving him a solid platform to go again from stall 2 carrying 135 lb; the chief concern is whether he can reproduce that form under a penalty.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Glowchester silks
Glowchester
Age 5 · 9-9
43222/
60
46
52
5
9-9
14/1 8/1 12/1
Glowchester has been a consistent placer, finishing second three times in her last five starts, but she has been off the track for 700 days and that lengthy absence is a significant concern; winless in recent starts, she faces a stiff task on her comeback carrying 135 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Surgeon Commander silks
Surgeon Commander
Age 3 · 9-7
136416
60
60
66
3
9-7
7/1 FCST 11/2
Surgeon Commander won two starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, making him a well-placed contender off 133 lb from stall six; a sixth last time out is the only minor concern, but his rating of 66 marks him as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Melissa Honey silks
Melissa Honey
Age 4 · 9-7
312131
58
68
59
4
9-7
10/3 5/2 10/3
Melissa Honey won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but a 39-day absence and a trainer firing at just 5% in the last fortnight are notable checks, and she carries 133 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Woodhay Whisper silks
Woodhay Whisper
Age 4 · 9-4
749757
55
44
60
4
9-4
16/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in her last six starts, Woodhay Whisper does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and her speed rating of 66 suggests there is more ability here than her official mark of 55 implies — the 59-day absence, however, is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Beach Partee silks
Beach Partee
Age 3 · 9-1
428334
54
58
61
3
9-1
7/1 5/1 7/1
Consistently hitting the frame in recent starts, Beach Partee brings solid placed form into this, with a third two runs back and another third three runs back giving him genuine claims; the main risk is how sharply he returns just two days after his last outing.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Maui Breeze silks
Maui Breeze
Age 4 · 9-0
770590
51
36
58
4
9-0
18/1 16/1 14/1
Maui Breeze has experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour, yet she remains winless in her last six starts and recent form figures make grim reading, with a fifth the best of it; carrying 126 lb from stall one, she returns on a sharp turnaround of just 11 days.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Heathers Feather silks
Heathers Feather
Age 3 · 8-13
646875
52
48
48
3
8-13
7/1 6/1 13/2
Winless in his last six starts, with finishes no better than fourth in recent outings, Heathers Feather faces a stiff ask here — ranked ninth of ten on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 17-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Yaahobby silks
Yaahobby
Age 7 · 8-9
736649
43
37
49
7
8-9
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a ninth last time out the most damning evidence against him here, Yaahobby faces a stiff task from stall eight carrying 121 lb, and though he has run over today's trip and going before, a ranking of eighth of ten on our figures makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Runninman silks
Runninman
Age 3 · 8-7
740650
43
24
47
3
8-7
50/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in his last six starts, Runninman arrives on the back of an unplaced effort ten days ago and ranks last on our figures among today's ten runners, making him very hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Get Up Everybody 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 Bet365
2 Glowchester 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
3 Surgeon Commander 7/1 7/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
4 Melissa Honey 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 Coral
5 Woodhay Whisper 16/1 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Beach Partee 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Bet365
7 Maui Breeze 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Heathers Feather 7/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365
9 Yaahobby 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Paddy Power
10 Runninman 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Get Up Everybody

Speculative

Get Up Everybody owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Paul Midgley David Nolan
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Melissa Honey

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Michael Herrington
✓ Value Signal

Runninman

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Donald Whillans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Get Up Everybody
50.4 2/1
2 4. Melissa Honey
48.9 10/3
3 6. Beach Partee
44.1 7/1
4 3. Surgeon Commander
43.6 7/1
5 8. Heathers Feather
41.6 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Get Up Everybody
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-9
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-1
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 7 · 8-9
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Age 4 · 9-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Get Up Everybody
Confidence: Speculative

Get Up Everybody (SR 68, 9/4) is the joint top-rated runner alongside Melissa Honey but carries the same weight of 9-9 with a materially stronger recent form line — '475331' shows a clear upward trajectory culminating in a win last time out, whereas Melissa Honey's '312131' alternates between wins and placed efforts on going that is flagged as a poor fit for her (GoingFit:-). Get Up Everybody also holds a course record of W1P2 at Newcastle AW, which is a significant advantage on a track that rewards familiarity. The 9/4 market price is the shortest in the field and reflects genuine confidence from the market, supported by a trainer (Paul Midgley, 11%) and jockey (David Nolan, 12%) combination that is both experienced and consistent. Melissa Honey's drift of 12% in the market and her poor going record on today's good ground are enough to separate the two joint-leaders in Get Up Everybody's favour. Each-way alternative: Heathers Feather. Main danger: Melissa Honey — Melissa Honey (SR 68, 10/3) matches Get Up Everybody on rating and has a very consistent form line of '312131' with a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1), meaning if the going concern proves overstated she has the raw ability to win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form sequence '475331' shows the win last time was preceded by a 3rd and 3rd — the upward trend is modest and the latest victory may have been at a lower level of competition than today's field sugge…
  • Mark movement of only +3 is underwhelming for a horse priced at 9/4 — if this were a standout confidence bet, sharper market support would be expected rather than a marginal move.
  • Surgeon Commander has a dominant W3P4 course record at Newcastle AW versus Get Up Everybody's W1P2, carries 2lb less, and is only available at 15/2 — a rival with superior track familiarity and a wei…
  • Trainer Paul Midgley's 11% strike rate across 1004 runners is workmanlike but not elite; combined with David Nolan at 12%, the partnership offers no statistical edge that justifies shortening to 9/4…
Shortlist Get Up Everybody, Melissa Honey, Surgeon Commander, Heathers Feather
Each-way: Heathers Feather Danger: Melissa Honey

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade