Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

16:20 Newmarket Sat 19 Sep 2026 2m2f Class 3 Good 7 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Percy Shelley

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Percy Shelley (SR:88, 11/4) carries the most favourable weight of the top-rated trio at 9-7, giving him a 9lb pull on In The Breeze (10-2) and a 5lb advantage on Gooloogong (9-12) despite matching both on SR:88. The 27% market shortening is a strong steamer signal that connections are confident, and trainer James Owen (19% strike rate from 2203 runners) is among the most potent handlers in the field. Course form of W0P1 at Newmarket adds familiarity, and while GoingFit:~ is not ideal, no runner in this field has a confirmed good-ground distance edge — all are DistFit:? at 2m2f — levelling that concern across the board. Each-way alternative: In The Breeze. Main danger: In The Breeze — In The Breeze (SR:91, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), while Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate from 3015 runners) is a high-quality booking — that SR edge could prove decisive despite the weight burden of 10-2.

Verify· #18684

Full result

Winner: Premiere Ligne (FR) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Premiere Ligne Hughie Morrison · Harry Davies 4/1
2 Percy Shelley Fox #1 James Owen · Callum Shepherd 11/4
3 Squire Danagher Emma Lavelle · Hector Crouch 13/2
4 Rogue Empire Roger Teal · Owen Lewis(5) 6/1
5 Gooloogong Fox #3 George Baker · Benoit de la Sayette 11/4
6 Appier Fox #4 Tony Carroll · David Probert 7/1
— In The Breeze Fox #2 Henrietta C Knight · Billy Loughnane 5/2

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Percy Shelley 11/4 🥈 2ND
2 In The Breeze 5/2
3 Gooloogong 5/2 5TH
4 Appier 13/2 6TH